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18 Nov 2024

Thai Economy

Thai economy expanded by 3.0% YoY in 3Q24; KResearch maintains its 2024 growth forecast at 2.6%, but sees increased risks for next year (Business Brief No.4100 Full Ed.)

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • Thailand’s economy grew by 3.0 percent YoY in 3Q24. Compared to the previous quarter, the economy expanded by 1.2 percent. The uptick was driven by a higher current account surplus bolstered by robust export performance, coupled with continued expansion in tourism receipts and private consumption, and substantial growth in public investment and consumption.
  • Looking ahead to the final quarter of this year, the Thai economy is expected to expand at an accelerated pace. KResearch thus maintains its 2024 economic growth forecast at 2.6 percent. This projection is supported by exports, which are set to grow higher than prior estimate, driven by an upturn in the electronics cycle, plus public investment and consumption are also projected to record favorable growth in 4Q24, partly due to a low base effect. At the same time, private consumption is likely to benefit from the tourism season and government stimulus measures.
  • Thailand’s economy is expected to face heightened risks in 2025. Close attention must be paid to President Donald Trump’s policies, particularly hikes in import tariffs, which could pose greater challenges to Thai exports going forward. Additionally, the tourism industry might be inhibited by the global economic downturn, especially China. However, public spending and investment are projected to accelerate and serve as key drivers for the country’s economic growth next year. Meanwhile, private investment is expected to improve, supported by foreign investment inflows.

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Thai Economy

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