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3 Feb 2025

Financial Markets

The Baht strengthened at the end of the week while the SET hit its lowest in 5-1/2 months

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
•    The Thai stock market dropped for two consecutive weeks due to the lack of new supporting actors.
        The SET dropped almost throughout the week amid domestic investors’ sell-offs. The SET was mainly pressured by the sell-offs of stocks of electronics producers (following US technology stock trend due to the news regarding the release of a low-cost Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) model) and stocks of large hospitals and stocks of an airport operator.
        The SET rose briefly later due to foreign investors’ purchases before dropping again from midweek due to the lack of new supporting factors, while the FOMC meeting results came out as market expected, i.e., the Fed’s decision to hold the policy rate steady while signaling that it is not in a hurry to cut rates.  On contrary to other bourses, the SET tumbled further at the end of the week and hit its lowest in 5-1/2 months at 1,310.72 points, dragged by the sell-offs of stocks of a major retail business operator due to the news regarding the discussion of management buyout. This week, banking stocks outperformed other sectors, boosted by the announcement of stock buyback plan of one of domestic systematically important banks (D-DIBs) and anticipated dividends payment.
•    On Friday, January 31, 2025, the SET closed at 1,314.50 points, down 2.92% over-week. The average daily trading value was THB35,612.14 million, up 2.73% over-week. The mai closed at 278.98 points, down 2.72% over-week.
•    February 3-7, 2025, KSecurities expects the SET to have support at 1,300 and 1,275 points, but resistance at 1,330 and 1,345 points, respectively. KResearch advises investors to watch key factors, including Thailand’s CPI for January 2025, FOMC officials’ remarks, 4Q-2024 performance results of Thai listed companies, policies of US president Donald Trump, and foreign fund flows. The US economic data that warrant close monitoring include Manufacturing and Services ISM/PMI, ADP Employment Report, Non-farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate for January 2025, plus Weekly Jobless Claims. Close attention must also be paid to the upcoming BOE meeting, Manufacturing and Services PMI for January 2025 of Japan, China and Eurozone, Eurozone’s CPI for January 2025 and PPI for December 2024.

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Financial Markets