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16 Apr 2025

Financial Markets

The Baht strengthened while the SET surged around midweek following US reciprocal tariff issues

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
•    The Thai stock market continued to fluctuate following US reciprocal tariff issues.
        The SET tumbled early in the week amid concerns about the impact of US reciprocal tariffs, falling more than 50 points and hitting its new lowest in 5 years at 1,056.41 points. The decline was in line with other bourses, which also dropped sharply. Having closely monitored the situation, the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) announced the implementation of Ceiling & Floor limits, Dynamic Price Band, and short-selling (during April 8-11) to reduce market volatility.
        However, the SET gradually recovered from midweek, driven by purchases of large-cap stocks, particularly those of banking, energy and retail stocks that saw a sharp drop in prices earlier. It later surged in line with other bourses after US President Donald Trump announced 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs with the exception of China. The gains were capped at the end of the week amid cautious investor sentiment ahead of Thailand’s weekend holidays, coupled with ongoing concerns about the US-China trade war.
 
•    On Friday, April 11, 2025, the SET closed at 1,128.66 points, up 0.31% over-week. The average daily trading value was THB50,675.44 million, up 39.90% over-week. The mai closed at 232.35 points, down 2.48% over-week.
•    April 16-18, 2025, KSecurities expects the SET to have support at 1,100 and 1,085 points, but resistance at 1,145 and 1,155 points, respectively. KResearch advises investors to watch key factors, including 1Q-2025 performance results of Thailand’s listed companies, trade conflicts between US and its trading partners, Fed officials’ remarks, and foreign fund flows. The US economic data that warrant close monitoring include March Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Housing Starts, plus Weekly Jobless Claims. Close attention must also be paid to ECB meeting, March CPI of Eurozone, UK and Japan, plus China’s GDP report for 1Q-2025 and March economic data such as Retail Sales, Industrial Production and Fixed Asset Investment. 

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Financial Markets