• At the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on April 29, 2026, it is expected that the committee will resolve to maintain the interest rate at 1.00 percent amid persistently high uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict. The MPC is projected to adopt a wait-and-see approach to comprehensively assess the impacts, in line with the stance of several major central banks worldwide.
• KResearch assesses that the MPC is likely to maintain the policy rate at 1.00 percent throughout 2026, given that domestic demand may remain weak, limiting the effectiveness of a policy rate hike in addressing inflation. Such a move could further dampen domestic demand.
• At the same time, further cuts to the policy rate may not significantly stimulate the economy. Meanwhile, fiscal policy is likely to play a more prominent role and more effectively mitigate impacts and cushion the economy compared with relying solely on overall interest rate policy.
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