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19 Nov 2020

International Economy

RCEP Set to be Enforced, but Close Attention Must be Paid to the US Stance, which Could Affect Thailand Ahead (Current Issue No.3162)

Presently, Thailand is already a member of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), which is the world’s largest free trade agreement (FTA). This is most welcome news because the RCEP will likely help enhance Thailand’s competitiveness over the short term, although the country’s long-term competitiveness is undermined by the fact that Thailand’s rivals that are also members of the RCEP and other FTAs that Thailand is not a member, in particular the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP)....Read more

11 Nov 2020

Thai Economy

KR-ECI Increased for Four Straight Months in October, Supported by Higher Income and Employment in the Agricultural Sector

The KR-ECI and 3-month Expected KR-ECI increased for the fourth consecutive month in October 2020 because households, in particular those in the agricultural sector, were more optimistic about employment and income. The improved sentiment seen in agricultural households was consistent with steady increases in agricultural prices during 3Q20, including rice, vegetables and fruits, especially rubber prices, which surged to the highest level in more than three years during October 2020. However, sentiment of households in Greater Bangkok towards employment and income did not improve, which was in alignment with the results of an additional survey conducted by KResearch, showing steady increases in the number of employees being laid off. ...Read more

4 Nov 2020

International Economy

2020 US election results set to benefit Thai products (Current Issue No.3158)

Preliminarily, products and businesses with ties to the US market will likely benefit from this historic election after braving the COVID-19 crisis this year, setting them on the path towards economic recovery in 2021. Indeed, the degree of recovery depends on the policies under the new president who will lead the United States for the next four years. KResearch projects that, under the tenure of Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and through a hefty budget for economic revitalization, the US economy is expected to expand by not less than 3.0 percent, more than in the scenario of President Donald Trump’s re-election, wherein economic growth could amount to less than 2.0 percent. ...Read more

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16 Nov 2020

Agriculture

Concentrated Latex: Key Feedstock to Meet the Need for Rubber Glove Production (Current Issue No.3160)

KResearch is of the view that concentrated latex prices in Thailand will likely bounce back over the short term or during the remainder of 2020 through to 2021 to a range of THB53-58/kg. The recovery will be supported by steady demand growth seen in rubber gloves, especially rubber medical gloves. This will offer bright prospects for Thai rubber, ...Read more

2 Nov 2020

Industry

Indonesia Set to Become Thailand’s Rival in BEV Production (Current Issue No.3156)

Electric vehicles (EVs) have increasingly made their presence felt within ASEAN, in particular investment in EV production in Thailand and Indonesia. Currently, Thailand has an edge over Indonesia in terms of EV manufacturing, thanks to the government’s clear policy of supporting the EV industry. Since such a policy has been implemented before Indonesia’s for many years, Thailand will likely be able to manufacture battery electric vehicles (BEVs) ahead of Indonesia in the future....Read more

28 Oct 2020

Industry

Key Industries May Recover at Different Paces in 2021, Though Most of Them Unlikely to Resume Growth at Pre-COVID-19 Levels (Current Issue No.3153)

Under assumptions that there is no serious resurgence of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in Thailand, which allows the relevant authorities to gradually relax international travel restrictions, and the majority of people in Thailand receives COVID-19 vaccines in late 2021 while the domestic political situation does not significantly impede the government’s budgetary disbursements, we at KResearch are of the view that key industries in country may still recover at different paces, depending on the levels of impact from various factors while some industries may experience specific challenges such as technological changes, effects of the US-China trade war, a race to become a technology leader in the global market, and supply glut. ...Read more

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20 Nov 2020

Financial Institutions

BOT Places emphasis on balancing fund flows in new Baht measures (Business Brief No.3897)

The Thai financial market has substantially been affected by increased volatility and downside risks in the global financial markets since the beginning of 2020. Recently, there was an influx of investment in assets within the emerging markets, including Thailand, following the US Presidential election and encouraging news about COVID-19 vaccines....Read more

6 Nov 2020

Financial Markets

The Baht hit a 9-month high while the SET rose on hopes that Joe Biden will win the US presidential election

The Baht broke the THB31.00/USD level, boosted by stronger Yuan and other Asian currencies. Meanwhile, the US dollar faced sell-offs amid expectations that Democrat Joe Biden would be the winner of the 2020 presidential election. The Baht also gained on hefty net foreign bond buying orders of THB25.86 billion during the week. It hit a 9-month high of THB30.55/USD later in the week while market participants eyed on uncertain signals after the US election, and the political situation in Thailand. ...Read more