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Industry Outlook Analysis

23 Feb 2021


January Thai Exports, Excluding Gold, Continued to Grow in line with the Global Economy (Business Brief No.3913)

Thailand’s outward trade posted steady growth over-month in January 2021 as the global economy began to recover. Excluding gold, Thai exports increased 6.3 percent, suggesting stronger demand for Thai products abroad, in particular automotive accessories, which surged 18.8 percent YoY, against the 0... Read more

22 Jan 2021


Thai Exports, 2021: Numerous Challenges Foreseen, but Growth Projected at 3.0% after Contracting 6.0 in 2020 (Business Brief No.3908)

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to persist worldwide, including in Thailand. In spite of this, hopes for COVID-19 vaccines, lesser stringent lockdown measures than the previous round of the pandemic and economic stimulus measures introduced by many countries helped support Thai exports in December 2... Read more

23 Dec 2020


Thai Exports, November 2020: Contracting at Slower Rate…But COVID-19 Pandemic in US and EU Set to Pressure 2021 Shipments (Business Brief No.3902)

Thailand’s outward trade exhibited improving signs in November 2021 despite soaring COVID-19 infections in the US and Europe. November shipments shrank only 3.65 percent YoY, against the 6.71 percent YoY contraction reported for October 2020. Excluding oil-related products, gold and arms, November ... Read more

23 Nov 2020


Thai exports recovery stumbles in October, contracting further by 6.71 percent YoY; projection for full-year 2020 remains at -7.0 percent (Business Brief No.3898)

Despite indications that the global economy would continue to recover in October 2020, Thai export figures for the month plunged by 6.71 percent YoY to USD 19.37 billion. Regardless, upon exclusion of products related to oil, gold and munitions, exports fell by 4.89 percent YoY, only a slight contra... Read more

2 Nov 2020


US moves to cut Thailand’s GSP privileges for the second time in 2020, working against US-bound exports in 2021 (Current Issue No.3157)

It is now apparent that Thailand will continue to lose its tariff privileges in penetrating the US market. In 2020, Thailand’s GSP tariff privileges have been revoked twice, totaling approximately USD 2.2 billion, or 45 percent of export value for products that benefit from GSP (Total Thai exports c... Read more

22 Oct 2020


Thai exports in Sep. 2020 shrink 3.9%, with contraction of 7.0% expected for full-year 2020 (Business Brief No.3892)

Thai exports in September 2020 stood at USD 19.6213 billion, or a contraction of 3.9 percent YoY, amid a rise in global demand compared to the previous month. Thai exports over the first nine months shrank 7.3 percent YoY, with the lone bright spot being export growth in electronic products and elec... Read more

24 Sep 2020


August Exports Contracted Slower than Expected at 7.9%, but Close Attention Must be Paid to Global Economic Risks (Business Brief No.3886)

Thailand’s outward trade contracted 7.9 percent YoY in August 2020. As a result, 8M20 exports shrank 7.8 percent YoY. Excluding oil, gold and arms exports, Thai shipments, however, contracted 14.1 percent YoY in August 2020, accelerating over the 13.0 percent YoY shrinkage reported for July 2020. Au... Read more

22 Sep 2020


Stringent Controls on Myanmar’s Border May Have Short-term Impact on Border Trade, but 2020 Cross-Border Exports to Myanmar Projected to Fall below THB100 Billion due to COVID-19 (Current Issue No.3138)

Thailand is facing hurdles in transporting goods across the border to Myanmar again after a recent announcement by Myanmar to tighten its cross-border controls as part of its COVID-19 prevention and control measures. Such controls include a requirement for truck drivers from Thailand via Chiang Rai’... Read more

24 Aug 2020


Thai Shipments Contracted 11.4% in July…2020 Exports Projected to Shrink 12.0% Amid Risks to Global Economy (Business Brief No.3881)

Thailand’s outward trade was USD18,819 million, shrinking 11.4 percent YoY in July 2020. Excluding oil, gold and arms shipments, Thai exports, however, contracted 13.0 percent YoY. Gold exports reverted to growth of 37.2 percent YoY in July in line with global gold prices, while industrial product a... Read more

24 Jul 2020


1H20 Exports Contracted 7.1% after June Shipment Shrank 23.2%...2H20 Shipments Projected to Shrink Faster than in 1H20 amid Slower Global Economic Recovery (Business Brief No.3877)

Thailand’s outward trade recorded a steep contraction for the second consecutive month in June 2020. As a result, 1H20 exports shrank 7.1 percent YoY. June shipments were valued at USD16,444 million, shrinking 23.2 percent YoY due to the unfolding coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and lockdown measure... Read more

25 Jun 2020


‘New Normal’ to pose challenges for Thai cross-border food logistics businesses until COVID-19 risk dissipates (Current Issue No.3121)

Border trade is an important product distribution channel for Thailand to neighboring countries (Myanmar, Lao PDR, Cambodia, Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam and southern China). Border trade shipments represent 30 percent of Thailand’s total export value from all cross-border channels combined. During... Read more

24 Jun 2020


Lockdown Measures Abroad Caused Thai Exports to Contract 22.5% in May Despite Skyrocketing Gold Shipments (Business Brief No.3873)

The value of Thailand’s outward trade stood at USD16,278 million, shrinking 22.5 percent YoY in May 2020 due primarily to lockdown measures abroad. As a result, Thai exports contracted 3.7 percent YoY during 5M20.... Read more

22 May 2020


Thai exports for April 2020 grew by 2.1percent, thanks to a dramatic rise in gold exports by 1,103 percent and other temporary factors (Business Brief No.3866)

The value of Thai exports for April 2020 stood at USD 18,948.2 million, with continuous expansion for the second consecutive month at a rate of 2.12 percent YoY – contrary to analysts’ earlier projection of a 4.6 percent contraction. The fact that many of Thailand’s trade partners have enforced lock... Read more

24 Apr 2020


COVID-19 Causes 2020 Thai Exports to US to shrink for the First Time in 10 Years at 9.2% (Current Issue No.3101)

Thai exports to the US contracted 2.7 percent YoY in 1Q20. Excluding products related to arms and tanks for military drills, which caused our export base to become volatile, our shipments to the US grew 15.8 percent YoY. The increase was supported by the US-China trade war, which helped bolster our ... Read more

21 Apr 2020


Thai Exports Grew 0.9% in 1Q20 bolstered by Short-Term Gold and Electronics Shipments (Business Brief No.3862)

The value of Thailand’s outward trade reverted to growth for the first time in five quarters of 0.9 percent YoY in 1Q20, boosted by favorable gold and electronics shipments. However, oil-related exports were dampened by plummeting crude oil prices. ... Read more

10 Apr 2020


COVID-19 Pandemic in Neighboring Countries to Cause 2020 Border and Cross-Border Trade to Shrink 12.8% (Current Issue No.3098)

Plummeting oil prices and measures aimed at combating the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in some of Thailand’s neighboring countries caused our border-trade and cross-border exports to contract 8.6 percent YoY during 2M20. The spread of the COVID-10 respiratory disease in all member ASEAN states a... Read more

23 Mar 2020


Gold – Crude Oil: Major Factors affecting Thai Exports in Feb.2020 (Business Brief No.3856)

Thai Exports in February 2020 remained a hodgepodge of temporary factors, being supported by consistent growth in gold exports but inhibited by a high base effect as a result of munitions rexports and crude oil prices in the preceding year. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 outbreak continued to affect Thai e... Read more

24 Feb 2020


January Exports Reverted to 3.35% Growth, Thanks to 300% Surge in Gold Shipments (Business Brief No.3851)

The global economy is experiencing more risks, including the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak seen in many countries since early 2020. As a result, Thailand’s exports of gold, being a safe-haven asset, skyrocketed 299.6 percent YoY in January 2020, allowing Thai shipments overall to resume grow... Read more

6 Feb 2020


Thai Manufacturing Sector May Lose at Least USD1.5 Billion amid Coronavirus Crisis in China (Current Issue No.3081)

The World Health Organization, January 30, 2020, declared that the novel coronavirus (2019 n-CoV) outbreak is a public health emergency of international concern as the virus has spread internationally. In China, the 2019 n-CoV epidemic, which originated in Wuhan, Hubei province, has also spread to o... Read more

22 Jan 2020


2019 Exports Contracted 2.65% ... Strong Baht and Slowing Global Economy Represent Risks to 2020 Exports (Business Brief No.3845)

The total value of Thai exports came in at USD246,244.5 million, shrinking 2.65 percent YoY in 2019 while the total import value reached USD236,639.9 million, contracting 4.66 percent YoY. As a result, Thailand enjoyed a trade surplus for the fifth consecutive year of USD9,604.6 million.... Read more

23 Dec 2019


Global economic slump sinks Thai exports, leading to a contraction for a fourth-straight month in November 2019 (Business Brief No.3840)

Thai exports in November 2019 totaled USD19.657 billion, dropping below USD20 billion for the first time in seven months and plunging for four consecutive months by 7.4 percent YoY, which marks the worst contraction in 43 months. Consequently, Thai exports in the first 11 months (Jan-Nov) of 2019 sh... Read more