• The Thai stock market continued to fluctuate in response to the Middle East conflict.
The SET Index fell below the 1,400-point level early in the week, in line with other regional bourses, amid selling pressure from foreign investors and domestic institutional investors. This followed rising tensions in the Middel East after the US threatened to attack Iran’s energy sites unless it fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours. However, the US later announced a five-day pause on strikes against Iran and signaled that negotiations were underway with Iran. In addition, news reports indicated that Iran allowed Thai oil tanker to pass safely through the Strait of Hormuz. These developments supported a rebound in the SET Index towards midweek, led by technology, energy, and banking stocks.
The SET Index later pared gains somewhat during the remainder of the week as conflicting news created market confusion, including Iran's denial of negotiations with the US and the US announcement of a 10-day pause on attacks targeting Iran's energy sites due to ongoing negotiations with Iran. This reflected the high level of uncertainty surrounding the Middle East situation, even though foreign investors returned to net buying towards the end of the week.
• On Friday, March 27, 2025, the SET closed at 1,447.05 points, up 0.98 percent over-week. The average daily trading value was THB65,096.46 million, up 0.96 percent over-week. The mai closed at 217.47 points, down 0.73 percent over-week.
• During March 30 – April 3, 2026, KSecurities expects the SET to have support at 1,430 and 1,410 points, but resistance at 1,465 and 1,490 points, respectively. KResearch advises investors to watch key factors, including Fed officials’ remarks, Middle East conflict, and foreign capital flows. US economic data that warrants close monitoring includes February Retail Sales, March Manufacturing and Services ISM/PMI, Non-farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, plus weekly jobless claims. Other important overseas economic indicators to monitor include Japan’s February Industrial Production, Eurozone’s March CPI (Flash), plus March PMI of several countries.
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