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19 May 2026

Econ Digest

Thailand’s food and beverage exports in 2026 are expected to grow at a slower pace of 2.0%.

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • ​The Middle East war has directly disrupted the food production supply chain. The producer price index (PPI) for food products has risen continuously in early 2026, reaching 106.9 in April 2026. It is expected to increase by around 5% YoY in the second half of 2026, reflecting a continued upward trend in raw material prices for the food and beverage business, especially upstream raw materials such as meat, eggs, fruits and vegetables, vegetable oils, and packaging.
  • The food and beverage business is facing higher production costs, particularly in transportation and raw materials. This is due to disruptions in transport routes, with freight costs rising to approximately 2–3 times normal levels and longer shipping times. At the same time, rising energy costs are impacting oil prices, packaging costs, and energy used in production systems, such as machinery and heating and cooling systems in factories.
  • Raw materials, which account for over 62% of total production costs in the food and beverage business, are at risk of becoming more scarce or insufficient. This is especially evident in packaging materials such as plastics and aluminum, as well as upstream production inputs like chemical fertilizers. As a result, upstream material prices have increased, forcing business operators to adjust production plans, improve inventory management, and expand backup supplier networks.
  • KResearch expects Thailand's food and beverage export value in 2026 to reach USD36,090 million, growing at a slower pace of 2.0%. The Middle East war has further pressured Thailand's food and beverage exports, adding to existing challenges from slowing orders by trading partners and intense price competition.
  • Products expected to see export growth this year include fresh, chilled, and frozen fruits; vegetable oils; and processed chicken. This growth is supported by continued demand from key trading partners and market expansion, driven by strengths in quality and production standards. Meanwhile, products expected to see contraction in export include canned and processed seafood as well as beverages, due to reduced orders from key partners amid high inventory levels and strong price competition.

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Econ Digest

Food and Beverage