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21 May 2026

International Economy

BI raised the interest rate by 50 bps to 5.25% due to currency vulnerability (Business Brief No.4269 Full Ed.)

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • Bank Indonesia (BI) resolved to raise the policy rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 5.25 percent. This marks its first rate hike in two years, making Indonesia the second ASEAN country, after the Philippines, to re-enter a monetary tightening cycle. This move reflects BI’s greater emphasis on currency stability amid pressures from capital outflows and rising fiscal risks.
  • The key reason stems from the Rupiah continuously hitting new record lows. During intraday trading on May 20, 2026, the currency touched a new low of IDR 17,745/USD, ranking as the second-weakest currency in Asia after the Indian Rupee. This reflects structural vulnerabilities and persistent capital outflow pressures, as well as investor concerns over economic policy stability, the fiscal position, and overall confidence in Indonesia’s financial markets. Additionally, persistently high global oil prices may increase risks to inflation and the government’s energy subsidy burden.
  • KResearch assesses that BI may implement further monetary tightening in the upcoming period if the Rupiah continues to depreciate and inflationary pressures keep rising due to global energy prices. A weaker currency would further increase import costs and the fiscal burden from energy subsidies, potentially forcing the government to gradually scale back fuel subsidies, which could in turn lead to broader inflationary pressures across the economy.

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International Economy