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Economic Analysis

16 Jul 2024

International Economy

China’s economy grew by 4.7% YoY in 2Q24, below prior forecast of 5.1% (Business Brief No.4073 Full Ed.)

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11 Jul 2024

International Economy

China's inflation came in at only 0.20% in June 2024 as consumers remained cautious about spending (Business Brief No.4072 Full Ed.)

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10 Jul 2024

Thai Economy

Thai seniors’ spending expected to reach THB 2.2 trillion in 2029; businesses must adapt to an aged society (Current Issue No.3511 Full Ed.)

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9 Jul 2024

International Economy

European politics has a limited impact on Thailand, but the results of the US presidential election will cause turbulence (Current Issue No.3512 Full Ed.)

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9 Jul 2024

International Economy

China's Third Plenum: Chinese authorities are expected to place emphasis on structural reforms and new economic stimulus measures (Business Brief No.4071 Full Ed.)

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5 Jul 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation grew less than expected at 0.62% YoY in June 2024, but it is projected to accelerate during 2H24…KResearch maintains inflation forecast for 2024 at 0.8% (Business Brief No.4070 Full Ed.)

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1 Jul 2024

International Economy

Vietnam’s 2Q24 economic growth beats expectations, thanks to increased public investment and domestic spending, but numerous risks loom (Business Brief No.4069 Full Ed.)

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24 Jun 2024

International Economy

The PBOC considers using a single short-term interest rate, narrowing the interest rate corridor to further clarify its monetary policy stance (Business Brief No.4068 Full Ed.)

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21 Jun 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports performed better than expected in May 2024, thanks to short term factors…KResearch maintains its growth forecast for 2024 Thai exports at 1.5% (Business Brief No.4067 Full Ed.)

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20 Jun 2024

Thai Economy

KResearch forecasts 2.6 percent growth for Thai economy in 2024, with growth gaining momentum in the latter half, driven by accelerated budget disbursement and stronger exports; (Press Conference 20 June 2024)

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19 Jun 2024

Thai Economy

Thailand and AI: The Impact of AI on Thai Workers (Current Issue No.3507)

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13 Jun 2024

International Economy

China’s inflation in May 2024 rose by 0.3% YoY but is still considered low, while producer price index fell for the 20th consecutive month (Business Brief No.4066 Full Ed.)

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12 Jun 2024

Thai Economy

Demographic shift may pose increased risk to Thailand’s fiscal position (Current Issue No.3505 Full Ed.)

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7 Jun 2024

International Economy

FOMC Meeting, June 11-12, 2024: Fed expected to maintain its policy rate and signal fewer rate cuts (Business Brief No.4062)

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7 Jun 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation hit the highest level in 13 months of 1.54% YoY in May 2024 Inflation is projected to return to BOT’s target range during the remainder of 2024 (Business Brief No.4064)

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29 May 2024

Thai Economy

Getting to know carbon credit trading in Thailand (Current Issue No.3500)

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27 May 2024

Thai Economy

AI and Thailand – How can AI assist the public sector? (Current Issue No.3499)

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27 May 2024

International Economy

Cross-border and transit trade in 4M24 contracted by 1.5% YoY; full-year growth projected at 0.6% (Current Issue No.3498)

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23 May 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports resumed growth in April 2024 after shrinking in previous month… For 2024, Thai shipments projected to grow at 1.5 percent (Business Brief No.4061)

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21 May 2024

Thai Economy

Demographic shift in Thailand is poised to drag down domestic consumption (Current Issue No.3495)

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20 May 2024

Thai Economy

Nationwide minimum wage hike to THB 400 would raise inflation and labor costs (Current Issue No.3496 Full Ed.)

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20 May 2024

Thai Economy

Thai economy expanded by 1.5% YoY in 1Q24, but still reflects an economic slowdown; KResearch lowers its 2024 growth forecast to 2.6% from 2.8% (Business Brief No.4058)

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17 May 2024

International Economy

US tariff hikes on some Chinese imports: Short-term impacts will likely be limited (Current Issue No.3494)

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9 May 2024

Thai Economy

The KR-ECI fell to its lowest level in eight months in April 2024 as households were more concerned about rising product prices and increased expenses during the Songkran festival

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9 May 2024

Thai Economy

Exploring the draft Climate Change Act: What's in store for the private sector? (Current Issue No.3490)

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8 May 2024

International Economy

Indonesia's economy in 1Q24 grew more than expected at 5.1% YoY, driven by the recent national election; full-year growth for 2024 projected at 5.0% YoY (Business Brief No.4060)

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3 May 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation turned positive in April 2024 and is expected to trend upwards for the rest of this year, making policy rate cuts less likely (Business Brief No.4059)

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29 Apr 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports for March 2024 contracted for the first time in eight years because of the high base of the previous year. (Business Brief No.4057)

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25 Apr 2024

International Economy

Bank Indonesia hikes its interest rate to 6.25% in a surprise move to maintain currency stability (Business Brief No.4056)

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25 Apr 2024

Thai Economy

Burning is a primary cause of the increase in PM2.5, especially from biomass burning (Current Issue No.3487)

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24 Apr 2024

International Economy

Fed is expected to keep its policy rate steady at the FOMC meeting slated for April 30 - May 1, 2024…Fed may make fewer interest rate cuts than those signaled earlier during 2024 (Business Brief No.4055)

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17 Apr 2024

International Economy

China’s economy grew more than expected at 5.3% YoY in 1Q24, driven by the high-tech industry; full-year growth for 2024 projected at 4.5% YoY (Business Brief No.4054)

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11 Apr 2024

Thai Economy

Government move to gradually reduce energy subsidies could cause Thai inflation to return positive in 2Q24 (Business Brief No.4052)

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5 Apr 2024

Thai Economy

KR-ECI remains static for the third consecutive month in March 2024 amid growing concern about energy costs

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5 Apr 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation in March 2024 remained negative for the sixth consecutive month, but it is expected to turn positive in May (Business Brief No.4053)

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2 Apr 2024

Thai Economy

Although household debt in 2024 may have slowed down, the household debt-to- GDP ratio is projected to remain high at 90.7% (Current Issue No.3479)

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1 Apr 2024

International Economy

ASEAN-China Economic Update, April 2024 (Business Brief No.4051)

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29 Mar 2024

Thai Economy

A minimum wage hike to THB 400 per day in 10 major tourism cities to affect hotels’ operating costs (Current Issue No.3478)

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29 Mar 2024

International Economy

Vietnam’s economy in 1Q24 grew at a slower rate of 5.66% YoY, with full-year growth projected at 5.8-6.0%, driven primarily by exports (Business Brief No.4050)

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26 Mar 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports grew for the seventh consecutive month of 3.6% YoY in February 2024, supported chiefly by gold shipments (Business Brief No.4049)

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22 Mar 2024

Thai Economy

Thailand's widening trade deficit with China reflects structural problems in Thai exports (Business Brief No.4048)

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22 Mar 2024

Thai Economy

Clean air law…hope for reducing PM2.5 (Current Issue No.3474)

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21 Mar 2024

International Economy

Policy directions of the new Indonesian President to commence in October 2024 (Current Issue No.3473)

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21 Mar 2024

International Economy

The resignation of Vietnam’s President is expected to have no significant impact on Vietnam’s long-term fundamentals and economic growth (Business Brief No.4047)

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19 Mar 2024

International Economy

The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years to 0-0.1% and abandoned its yield curve control (Business Brief No.4046)

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15 Mar 2024

International Economy

FOMC Meeting, March 19-20, 2024: Fed likely to hold its policy rate steady and signal three rate cuts this year (Business Brief No.4045 Full Ed.)

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14 Mar 2024

International Economy

China keeps its 2024 economic growth target unchanged from the previous year at its annual plenary sessions, known as the “Two Sessions” (Business Brief No.4044)

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13 Mar 2024

Thai Economy

Reinventing Thailand’s Growth Model (Press Conference 13 March 2024)

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11 Mar 2024

International Economy

China’s inflation in February 2024 turned positive for the first time in six months (Business Brief No.4043 Full Ed.)

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6 Mar 2024

Thai Economy

The KR-ECI in February 2024 remained static for two straight months, but households were still concerned about debts

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5 Mar 2024

Thai Economy

Thailand’s cross-border and transit trade with China – its No.1 export market – to reach roughly THB 250 billion in 2024, expanding 17% YoY (Current Issue No.3463)

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5 Mar 2024

International Economy

China sets its 2024 GDP growth target at 5% while keeping its 3% fiscal deficit unchanged at the NPC and CPPCC sessions (Business Brief No.4041)

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5 Mar 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation in February 2024 remained negative for the fifth consecutive month, but it is expected to turn positive in 2Q24 (Business Brief No.4042)

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5 Mar 2024

International Economy

ASEAN-China Economic Update, March 2024 (Business Brief No.4040)

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29 Feb 2024

International Economy

China cuts five-year LPR by most on record, reflecting concerns over its troubled property sector (Business Brief No.4038)

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23 Feb 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports grew for six straight months at 10.0 percent YoY in January despite the Red Sea conflict (Business Brief No.4039)

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20 Feb 2024

Thai Economy

Thai economy grew less than expected at 1.9 percent YoY in 2023; KResearch downwardly revises its Thai economic growth forecast for 2024 to 2.6 percent, from its previous estimate of 3.1 percent (Business Brief No.4037)

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14 Feb 2024

International Economy

Although the overall FDI inflow into ASEAN declined in 2023, FDI in the industrial sector of Indonesia and Vietnam has continued to increase. (Business Brief No.4035)

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7 Feb 2024

Thai Economy

Sustainable finance is expected to continue growing in 2024, driven by proliferating global standards (Current Issue No.3456)

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6 Feb 2024

Thai Economy

KR-ECI for January 2024 remained unchanged at 38.8 while households started to be worried about energy bills, and the 3-month Expected KR-ECI was still at 40.5

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5 Feb 2024

Thai Economy

Businesses facing labor shortages as Thailand transitions into a super-aged society (Current Issue No.3453)

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5 Feb 2024

Thai Economy

Thailand sees negative inflation for fourth consecutive month in January 2024 but has not yet fallen into deflation (Business Brief No.4034 Full Ed.)

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5 Feb 2024

Thai Economy

Four challenging trends for the Thai economy and business, at risk of slower growth if adjustments are not expedited (Current Issue No.3454)

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31 Jan 2024

Thai Economy

Chinese New Year 2024: Spending by Bangkok residents projected to increase about 1.5 percent YoY (Current Issue No.3451)

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30 Jan 2024

International Economy

Fed is expected to keep its policy rate steady at 5.25-5.50% before hiking the rate 3-4 times during 2024 (Business Brief No.4032)

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26 Jan 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports contracted by 1.0 percent YoY in 2023, though the fourth quarter saw a boost from the recovery of industrial product exports (Business Brief No.4031 Full Ed.)

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17 Jan 2024

International Economy

China’s economy reached its growth target, expanding by 5.2 percent in 2023 amid pressure from the property sector and geopolitical tensions (Business Brief No.4030)

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8 Jan 2024

Thai Economy

KR-ECI fell slightly in December 2023 as households incurred more expenditures during the year-end festive season

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8 Dec 2023

International Economy

FOMC Meeting, December 12-13, 2023: Fed likely to hold its policy rate steady at 5.25-5.50 percent (Business Brief No.4028)

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7 Dec 2023

Thai Economy

KR-ECI increased for the third consecutive month in November 2023, thanks to the government measures

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1 Dec 2023

Thai Economy

NCB’s data shows micro and super micro businesses remain a concern as they have yet to benefit from the economic recovery (Current Issue No.3445)

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29 Nov 2023

Thai Economy

KResearch views that informal debt is a complex issue affecting social aspects, quality of life, and household economy(Business Brief No.4027)

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28 Nov 2023

Thai Economy

KResearch projects that Thai exports for 2023 will outperform its previous forecast of a 2.5-percent decline; exports now expected to drop by 1.5-1.0 percent (Business Brief No.4026)

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21 Nov 2023

Thai Economy

Thai economy grew less than expected at 1.5 percent YoY in 3Q23 KResearch revises its 2023 growth forecast for the Thai economy down to 2.5 percent (Business Brief No.4024)

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3 Nov 2023

Thai Economy

KR-ECI in October 2023 improved for the second consecutive month, driven by ongoing government measures

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30 Oct 2023

International Economy

Fed is expected to hold its policy rate steady at 5.25-5.50 percent at the FOMC meeting on October 31 - November 1, 2023 (Business Brief No.4023 Full Ed.)

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25 Oct 2023

Thai Economy

Thai exports in September 2023 grew for the second consecutive month at 2.1% YoY, but close attention must be paid to the increased geopolitical risk to the global economy (Business Brief No.4022 Full Ed.)

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19 Oct 2023

International Economy

China’s economy is expected to grow close to its government’s target of 5 percent in 2023 (Business Brief No.4021 Full Ed.)

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12 Oct 2023

International Economy

Vietnam’s economy projected to grow 4.8-5.0% in 2023, lower than its government’s target of 6.0% (Business Brief No.4020)

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10 Oct 2023

Thai Economy

Bangkokians’ spending on Kin Jae to grow by 3.5 percent in 2023, due in part to rising prices of Jae food compared to the previous year (Current Issue No.3438)

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4 Oct 2023

Thai Economy

KR-ECI improved in September 2023, driven by the new government’s measures aimed at easing the cost of living

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2 Oct 2023

Thai Economy

Thriving forest carbon credit market is set to help support the journey towards net zero (Current Issue No.3436 Full Ed.)

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27 Sep 2023

Thai Economy

Thai exports grew by 2.6 percent YoY in August 2023, the first uptick in 11 months, while numerous challenges – such as the global economic slowdown and drought – will persist for the remainder of the year (Business Brief No.4019 Full Ed.)

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21 Sep 2023

Thai Economy

Fed’s stance, Yuan’s movements and specific factors in Thailand may affect the Baht’s directions during the remainder of 2023 (Business Brief No.4017 Full Ed.)

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18 Sep 2023

International Economy

Fed is expected to hold its policy rate steady at 5.25-5.50 percent at the FOMC meeting on September 19-20, 2023 (Business Brief No.4016 Full Ed.)

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13 Sep 2023

Thai Economy

Financial sector can help the silver age prepare for a more stable life (Current Issue No.3432 Full Ed.)

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5 Sep 2023

Thai Economy

KR-ECI was stable in August 2023 amid uncertainties surrounding the Thai economy Clarity on the government’s formation may lead to an improved outlook towards the economy and household livelihoods going forward

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29 Aug 2023

International Economy

BRICS pursues a bigger role in the global arena, drawing interest from emerging economies amid intensified geopolitical tensions (Current Issue No.3430 Full Ed.)

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25 Aug 2023

Thai Economy

Slowing global economy further pressured Thai exports to contract faster at 6.2% YoY in July 2023 (Business Brief No.4015 Full Ed.)

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21 Aug 2023

Thai Economy

Thai economy grew less than expected at 1.8 percent YoY in 2Q23 Full-year growth for 2023 is expected to be in a range of 3.0-3.5 percent (Business Brief No.4014 Full Ed.)

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3 Aug 2023

Thai Economy

KR-ECI improved in July 2023; Thai households’ decreased concerns were reflected across all components of KR-ECI amid Thailand’s economic recovery. Meanwhile, 3-month Expected KR-ECI remained steady amid persistently high uncertainties.

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26 Jul 2023

Thai Economy

Thai exports contracted by 5.4 percent YoY in 1H23 amid global economic slowdown; other challenging factors such as weather conditions may exert additional pressure going forward (Business Brief No.4012)

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24 Jul 2023

International Economy

FOMC meeting, July 25-26, 2023: Policy rate likely be raised by 0.25% (Business Brief No.4011)

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18 Jul 2023

International Economy

The Chinese economy grew less than expected in 2Q23; full-year growth for 2023 is expected to reach 5.2 percent YoY (Business Brief No.4010)

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6 Jul 2023

Thai Economy

KR-ECI remained stable in June 2023; Thai households were less concerned about product prices and expenses but were more worried about income and savings

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4 Jul 2023

Thai Economy

Household debt, 1Q23: Declining to 90.6% of GDP, but Thailand must accelerate the implementation of sustainable measures to reduce household debt (Current Issue No.3419 Full Ed.)

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27 Jun 2023

Thai Economy

Thai exports continued to shrink in May 2023, but at a slower pace of 4.6% YoY, supported chiefly by exports of industrial products amid limited benefit from Chinese economic recovery (Business Brief No.4009)

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21 Jun 2023

Thai Economy

Environmental issues that the new government must urgently push forward (Business Brief No.4008 Full Ed.)

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12 Jun 2023

Thai Economy

KR-ECI was static in May 2023 after declining for two consecutive months; Thai households were less concerned about expenses and product prices but were more worried about income

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9 Jun 2023

International Economy

FOMC meeting, June 13-14, 2023: Fed officials may not be unanimous in holding the policy rate at 5.00-5.25% (Business Brief No.4007)

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30 May 2023

Thai Economy

Anemic global economy pressured Thai exports to contract further at 7.6% YoY in April….International trade will present another important challenge for the new government (Business Brief No.4006 Full Ed.)

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29 May 2023

Thai Economy

Bolstering labor productivity at a faster rate than the increase in minimum wage rate may be an appropriate approach (Business Brief No.4005 Full Ed.)

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29 May 2023

International Economy

The recent G7 summit focused on intensified geopolitical conflicts (Current Issue No.3413)

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15 May 2023

Thai Economy

Thai economy grew 2.7% YoY in 1Q23 as expected (Business Brief No.4002 Full Ed.)

Tourism will continue to be a key economic driver ahead despite the risk of global economic slowdown and uncertainty towards the formation of a new Thai government. KResearch maintains its growth forecast for the Thai economy in 2023 at 3.7%. ... Read more