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Economic Analysis

25 Apr 2025

International Economy

BI maintains its policy rate at 5.75% amid concerns over the Rupiah being Asia’s worst-performing currency (Business Brief No.4147 Full Ed.)

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24 Apr 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports in March 2025 grew at the highest rate in three years at 17.8% YoY, but full-year figure may contract by 0.5% due to US tariff hikes (Business Brief No.4148 Full Ed.)

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16 Apr 2025

International Economy

China’s 1Q25 economy grew more than expected at 5.4%; US import tariffs may pressure China’s economy during the rest of this year (Business Brief No.4146 Full Ed.)

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8 Apr 2025

International Economy

Vietnam’s economy grew at a slower pace of 6.93% YoY in 1Q25; reciprocal tariffs could shrink its GDP by 1.5%, though positive factors exist if trade negotiations with the US succeed (Business Brief No.4144 Full Ed.)

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4 Apr 2025

International Economy

ASEAN faces some of the highest reciprocal tariffs, with Vietnam and Cambodia potentially suffering major GDP blows, while Indonesia may see limited effects (Current Issue No.3575)

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4 Apr 2025

International Economy

China faces the highest combined reciprocal tariffs; its 2025 economic growth may fall below KResearch’s prior forecast by 1% (Current Issue No.3574 Full Ed.)

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4 Apr 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand’s inflation for March 2025 slowed to 0.84% YoY; full-year inflation projected to slide to 0.5% amid an economic slowdown (Business Brief No.4143 Full Ed.)

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31 Mar 2025

Thai Economy

Economic losses from the earthquake initially estimated at no less than THB 20 billion (Current Issue No.3571)

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21 Mar 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports surged by 14.0% YoY in February 2025, driven by accelerated shipments to the US (Business Brief No.4141 Full Ed.)

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19 Mar 2025

International Economy

BI maintains its policy rate at 5.75%, prioritizing currency stability and preventing capital outflows (Business Brief No.4140 Full Ed.)

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14 Mar 2025

International Economy

At the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, the Fed may keep its interest rates unchanged, but there may be at least two rate cuts during the rest of the year due to increased economic risks (Business Brief No.4139 Full Ed.)

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10 Mar 2025

International Economy

Deflation risks continue to pressure China’s economy; domestic inflation in February 2025 turned negative for the first time in 13 months (Business Brief No.4138 Full Ed.)

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7 Mar 2025

International Economy

China’s exports rose by 2.3% YoY in January-February 2025 amid renewed trade tensions (Business Brief No.4136 Full Ed.)

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7 Mar 2025

Thai Economy

Inflation for February 2025 increased by 1.08% YoY; full-year inflation projected at 0.7% due to declining global energy prices (Business Brief No.4137 Full Ed.)

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6 Mar 2025

Thai Economy

CO2 emissions in 2024 increased by 0.8% due to fossil fuel consumption (Current Issue No.3567)

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6 Mar 2025

International Economy

Vietnam posted a USD 1.55 billion trade deficit in February; its trade surplus for the entire year may decrease due to the risks from President Trump’s tariffs (Business Brief No.4135 Full Ed.)

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5 Mar 2025

International Economy

Seven products at risk of Trump tariffs; Thailand relies on the US for 21% of its exports in this grouping (Current Issue No.3566)

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5 Mar 2025

International Economy

China retaliates against the US, imposing a 10-15% tariff on its agricultural products (Business Brief No.4134 Full Ed.)

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26 Feb 2025

International Economy

Key issues to watch after the CDU/CSU won the German elections on February 23, 2025 (Current Issue No.3563 Full Ed.)

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26 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

The MPC cut the policy rate to 2.00% in a non-unanimous resolution during its February 26 meeting (Business Brief No.4133 Full Ed.)

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25 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports in January 2025 grew by 13.6% YoY, supported by accelerated imports ahead of US import tariff hikes (Business Brief No.4132)

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21 Feb 2025

International Economy

The Chinese government is preparing to support an expanded private sector role in helping the Chinese economy cope with renewed trade wars (Business Brief No.4128 Full Ed.)

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20 Feb 2025

International Economy

Bank Indonesia maintains its policy rate at 5.75% to support economic growth (Business Brief No.4130 Full Ed.)

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20 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

The MPC is expected to maintain the policy rate at its February 26 meeting and cut the rate 1-2 times during the rest of this year, with the weight given primarily to domestic factors (Business Brief No.4131 Full Ed.)

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18 Feb 2025

International Economy

China’s net foreign direct investment fell for the third consecutive year in 2024 (Business Brief No.4128 Full Ed.)

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17 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

The Thai economy grew by 2.5% in 2024, almost on par with prior estimate; KResearch maintains its 2025 GDP growth projection at 2.4% (Business Brief No.4127)

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14 Feb 2025

International Economy

Vietnamese Dong hits a historic low and is likely to weaken further; State Bank of Vietnam expected to maintain its policy rate until year-end 2025 (Business Brief No.4126 Full Ed.)

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13 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

Draft Financial Business Hub Act – A milestone for elevating Thailand to the global stage (Current Issue No.3559)

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10 Feb 2025

International Economy

China’s inflation rose after a temporary boost from Lunar New Year spending, but deflation risks remain (Business Brief No.4125 Full Ed.)

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7 Feb 2025

International Economy

The Indonesian economy in 2024 grew 5.03% as forecasted (Business Brief No.4124 Full Ed.)

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7 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

More factory closures expected in 2025 (Current Issue No.3557 Full Ed.)

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6 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

Inflation accelerated to 1.32% YoY in January 2025 due to the low base effect; KResearch maintains 2025 inflation forecast at 0.7% (Business Brief No.4123 Full Ed.)

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4 Feb 2025

International Economy

President Trump launches a new salvo in the trade war, putting Thai exports at risk, especially electronics, rubber, electrical appliances, and furniture (Business Brief No.4122 Full Ed.)

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3 Feb 2025

International Economy

US imposes a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and eliminates the ‘de minimis’ exemption for small packages (Business Brief No.4121 Full Ed.)

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30 Jan 2025

International Economy

DeepSeek – Hype or a Paradigm Shift? (Current Issue No.3556)

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29 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Sustainability trends to watch in 2025 (Current Issue No.3555)

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29 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Global Finance Hub: Where does Thailand stand? (Current Issue No.3554 Full Ed.)

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24 Jan 2025

International Economy

The Fed is expected to keep interest rates steady at the FOMC meeting on January 28-29, 2025; KResearch expects the Fed to cut policy interest rates only twice this year, in line with the latest dot plot (Business Brief No.4120)

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24 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

PM2.5 pollution in Bangkok expected to cause economic losses of no less than THB 3 billion (Current Issue No.3551)

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23 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand to impose an initial carbon tax on oil and petroleum products, not affecting retail prices (Current Issue No.3549)

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23 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports in 2024 grew slightly higher than previously anticipated by 5.4%; 2025 growth may slow due to a renewed trade war (Business Brief No.4119 Full Ed.)

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21 Jan 2025

International Economy

Trump’s decision to delay tariff hikes on Inauguration Day weakens the US Dollar (Business Brief No.4118)

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21 Jan 2025

International Economy

First Impressions: President Trump signs executive orders to reverse environmental policies on his first day in office, refocusing on oil and gas drilling (Current Issue No.3548)

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21 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Lunar New Year 2025: The prices of main offerings are expected to increase by no less than 4% (Current Issue No.3547)

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17 Jan 2025

International Economy

China achieved its economic growth target of 5% for 2024; growth may slow in 2025 amid a renewed trade war (Business Brief No.4117 Full Ed.)

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17 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Money alone may not be enough to reduce PM2.5 - Lessons from Singapore and Indonesia (Current Issue No.3546)

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13 Jan 2025

International Economy

China's exports in 2024 grew at 5.9%, pushing its global trade surplus to a record high (Business Brief No.4115 Full Ed.)

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10 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Economic, Business and Banking Outlook 2025 (Business Brief No.4116 Full Ed.)

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9 Jan 2025

International Economy

China’s inflation rose by 0.2% in 2024; deflation risks remain in 2025 (Business Brief No.4114)

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7 Jan 2025

International Economy

The Vietnamese economy in 2024 grew at 7.09% and is expected to achieve growth of 6.8% in 2025 amid the risks of a renewed trade war (Business Brief No.4113 Full Ed.)

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6 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Average inflation for 2024 stood at 0.4%; Inflation in 2025 expected to rise to 0.7% (Business Brief No.4112)

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3 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

The Baht is expected to weaken in 2025, with added pressure from Trump’s policies (Current Issue No.3544)

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26 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports grew by 8.2% YoY in November 2024, bolstered by renewed trade war concerns (Business Brief No.4111)

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24 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Thriving and declining businesses in 2025, plus three trends for business growth and risks to brace for (Current Issue No.3541)

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24 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Minimum wage hike averaging 2.9% set for the beginning of 2025; Koh Samui and Chachoengsao to see the highest increase of 14-15% (Current Issue No.3542)

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19 Dec 2024

International Economy

FOMC meeting, December 17-18, 2024: Fed cut the policy rate by 0.25% as expected, and plans to cut the rate twice in 2025 (Business Brief No.4110 Full Ed.)

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18 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

The MPC voted unanimously to maintain its policy rate at 2.25% as widely expected; it may cut the rate twice next year (Business Brief No.4109 Full Ed.)

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17 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Sustainable Finance: From Green to Transition Finance (Current Issue No.3539)

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16 Dec 2024

International Economy

FOMC meeting, December 17-18, 2024: The Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by 0.25% and signal fewer than four rate cuts next year (Business Brief No.4108 Full Ed.)

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13 Dec 2024

International Economy

China eyes a new economic stimulus package in 2025 to boost domestic consumption and investment amid a new round of trade war (Business Brief No.4107)

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12 Dec 2024

International Economy

Unrest in Syria expected to persist, but its impact on oil prices remains limited (Business Brief No.4106)

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12 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

MPC Meeting, December 18, 2024: MPC is expected to maintain its policy rate at 2.25%, but may cut the rate twice next year (Business Brief No.4105 Full Ed.)

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11 Dec 2024

International Economy

China’s exports surged by 6.7%YoY in November 2024 before the US eyes escalation of a trade war with China (Business Brief No.4104 Full Ed.)

China’s exports surged by 6.7%YoY in November 2024 before the US eyes escalation of a trade war with China (Business Brief No.4104)... Read more

9 Dec 2024

International Economy

China’s inflation rose by 0.2% YoY in November 2024, a five-month low, reflecting persistent deflationary risk (Business Brief No.4103 Full Ed.)

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6 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Analysis on the NCB’s commercial credit database: How concerning are business debts? (Current Issue No.3536 Full Ed.)

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6 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Carbon credit price and challenges in developing Thailand's carbon market (Current Issue No.3537 Full Ed.)

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4 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Thailand's inflation accelerated steadily to 0.95% YoY in November 2024; average inflation rates for full-year 2024 and 2025 projected at 0.5% and 0.7% (Business Brief No.4102 Full Ed.)

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26 Nov 2024

Thai Economy

Thailand’s export growth surged 14.6% YoY in October 2024, bolstered by trade war (Business Brief No.4101)

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18 Nov 2024

Thai Economy

Thai economy expanded by 3.0% YoY in 3Q24; KResearch maintains its 2024 growth forecast at 2.6%, but sees increased risks for next year (Business Brief No.4100 Full Ed.)

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11 Nov 2024

International Economy

China’s inflation remained low at 0.3% YoY in October 2024 (Business Brief No.4099 Full Ed.)

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11 Nov 2024

Thai Economy

Highlights of sustainability policies at COP29 (Current Issue No.3534 Full Ed.)

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8 Nov 2024

International Economy

FOMC meeting, November 6-7, 2024: Fed cut its policy rate by 0.25%, as expected; future rate cut may hinge on economic policies and figures (Business Brief No.4098 Full Ed. )

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7 Nov 2024

International Economy

China’s exports rose by 12.7% YoY in October 2024 (Business Brief No.4097 Full Ed.)

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6 Nov 2024

International Economy

Indonesia’s economic growth slowed down slightly in 3Q24; full-year 2024 growth projected at 5% (Business Brief No.4095 Full Ed.)

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6 Nov 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation rose to 0.83% YoY in October 2024 and is expected to reach 1.2% YoY in 4Q24 (Business Brief No.4096 Full Ed.)

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6 Nov 2024

International Economy

Trump’s election victory increases uncertainty for the Thai economy (Current Issue No.3533 Full Ed.)

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1 Nov 2024

International Economy

FOMC meeting, November 6-7, 2024: Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by 0.25%; US presidential election results to influence future policy rate moves (Business Brief No.4094 Full Ed.)

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1 Nov 2024

International Economy

Risk to the US economy may increase if Trump wins the US presidential election on November 5, 2024 (Current Issue No.3532 Full Ed.)

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28 Oct 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports in September 2024 boosted by upturn in electronics cycle (Business Brief No.4093 Full Ed.)

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28 Oct 2024

International Economy

A new round of trade war may trigger another wave of production relocation, with Thailand likely to partially benefit from industries where investment already exists (Current Issue No.3531 Full Ed.)

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25 Oct 2024

International Economy

BRICS Summit 2024 reflects the bloc’s greater role in the coming years (Current Issue No.3530 Full Ed.)

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22 Oct 2024

International Economy

The PBOC cuts its one-year and five-year LPRs to record lows (Business Brief No.4092 Full Ed.)

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18 Oct 2024

International Economy

China’s economy grew by 4.6% YoY in 3Q24, the lowest since 2Q23 (Business Brief No.4091 Full Ed.)

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17 Oct 2024

International Economy

Environmental policies of US presidential candidates (Current Issue No.3526 Full Ed.)

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16 Oct 2024

Thai Economy

Household debt in 2024 may decline to 88.5-89.5% of GDP; survey shows varied ability to manage debt among households (Current Issue No.3524 Full Ed.)

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15 Oct 2024

Thai Economy

The cost of flood damage in 2024 may exceed THB30 billion (Current Issue No.3523 Full Ed.)

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7 Oct 2024

International Economy

Vietnam’s economy recorded higher-than-expected growth of 7.40%YoY in 3Q24, supported by exports and growth in the industrial sector (Business Brief No.4087 Full Ed.)

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7 Oct 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation rose to 0.61% YoY in September 2024; full-year forecast of KResearch remains at 0.5% (Business Brief No.4088 Full Ed.)

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30 Sep 2024

Thai Economy

Stakeholders in Thailand’s voluntary carbon market: Challenges and strategies (Current Issue No.3521 Full Ed.)

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26 Sep 2024

International Economy

China’s new stimulus measures give the stock market a short-term boost, but their impact on the overall economy remains to be seen (Business Brief No.4086 Full Ed.)

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25 Sep 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports rose 7.0% YoY in August 2024, boosted by HDD and gold shipments; full-year 2024 growth projected at 2.5% (Business Brief No.4085 Full Ed.)

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18 Sep 2024

International Economy

Indonesia’s central bank cuts its benchmark interest rate sooner than expected, to 6.0% (Business Brief No.4084 Full Ed.)

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18 Sep 2024

Thai Economy

Thailand is expected to record a trade deficit for the third consecutive year in 2024 due to structural issues (Business Brief No.4083 Full Ed.)

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13 Sep 2024

International Economy

FOMC meeting, September 17-18, 2024: Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by 0.25% and signal two more rate cuts during the remainder of 2024 (Business Brief No.4082 Full Ed.)

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5 Sep 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation hit a four-month low of 0.35% YoY in August 2024; the full-year forecast of KResearch is revised downward to 0.5% (Business Brief No.4081 Full Ed.)

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27 Aug 2024

Thai Economy

Thai shipments grew more than expected at 15.2% YoY in July 2024, boosted by gold exports (Business Brief No.4080 Full Ed.)

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19 Aug 2024

Thai Economy

Thai economy expanded by 2.3% YoY in 2Q24; full-year 2024 growth forecast of KResearch remains at 2.6%, depending on government economic measures. (Business Brief No.4079 Full Ed.)

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7 Aug 2024

Thai Economy

Inflation rose to 0.83% YoY in July 2024. The full-year forecast by KResearch remains at 0.8%, contingent upon government measures aimed at reducing energy costs. (Business Brief No.4077 Full Ed.)

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5 Aug 2024

International Economy

Indonesia’s economy grew at 5.0% YoY in 2Q24 as exports resumed favorable growth (Business Brief No.4076 Full Ed.)

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26 Jul 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports contracted by 0.3% YoY in June 2024, hit by a sharp decline in durian shipments (Business Brief No.4075 Full Ed.)

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24 Jul 2024

International Economy

FOMC meeting, July 30-31, 2024: Fed is expected to signal a rate cut at its September 2024 meeting, with a total of two rate cuts anticipated this year. (Business Brief No.4074 Full Ed.)

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16 Jul 2024

International Economy

China’s economy grew by 4.7% YoY in 2Q24, below prior forecast of 5.1% (Business Brief No.4073 Full Ed.)

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11 Jul 2024

International Economy

China's inflation came in at only 0.20% in June 2024 as consumers remained cautious about spending (Business Brief No.4072 Full Ed.)

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10 Jul 2024

Thai Economy

Thai seniors’ spending expected to reach THB 2.2 trillion in 2029; businesses must adapt to an aged society (Current Issue No.3511 Full Ed.)

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