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15 Jun 2026

International Economy

FOMC Meeting, June 16-17: Fed expected to hold rates at 3.50–3.75% while assessing the inflation outlook (Business Brief No.4274 Full Ed.)

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
•    KResearch expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep its policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75 percent during the June 16–17, 2026 FOMC meeting as it awaits greater clarity on the inflation outlook. Although headline inflation accelerated to a three-year high in May 2026, the increase was driven primarily by supply-side factors, particularly higher energy prices. As such, the Fed is unlikely to immediately raise the policy rate.
•    This session marks the first FOMC meeting under the leadership of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair. Market attention is likely to focus less on the rate decision itself and more on signals regarding the future direction of monetary policy. In addition, the meeting will feature the release of updated economic projections and a new Dot Plot, which are expected to reflect a more hawkish policy stance.
•    KResearch expects the Fed to maintain the policy rate at 3.50–3.75 percent throughout the remainder of 2026. However, the possibility of one additional rate hike remains if inflationary pressures prove stronger than anticipated.

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