• Indonesia’s GDP grew by a stronger-than-expected 5.47 percent in 3Q26, with consumption and investment remaining the main growth drivers, while an improvement in net exports provided additional support to economic growth.
• Despite solid economic growth, financial market confidence remains a key challenge. Concerns over MSCI’s market classification review have increased pressure on the stock market and the Rupiah. If these pressures persist and lead to higher funding and import costs, businesses may delay investment, potentially weighing on economic growth in the period ahead.
• KResearch has revised up its 2026 GDP growth forecast for Indonesia to 5.4 percent from 5.1 percent, following stronger-than-expected economic growth in 9M26. However, sustaining growth into 2027 will require investment that generates production and employment, alongside a recovery in confidence, amid limited room for both monetary and fiscal stimulus.
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