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18 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

The MPC voted unanimously to maintain its policy rate at 2.25% as widely expected; it may cut the rate twice next year (Business Brief No.4109 Full Ed.)

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The MPC voted unanimously to maintain its policy rate at 2.25% as widely expected; it may cut the rate twice next year

  • At its meeting on December 18, 2024, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted unanimously to keep the policy rate steady at 2.25 percent, as widely expected. The Committee considered the current rate appropriate for supporting the Thai economy to expand almost on par with its growth potential, ensuring that the inflation rate leans towards the target range, while maintaining long-term financial stability, and the effectiveness of monetary policy to cope with rising uncertainties going forward.
  • The MPC’s post-meeting statement reflects concerns over future economic risks. Given this, the MPC may continue to monitor financial and economic developments, as well as the impact of the government’s “You Fight, We Help” initiative designed to help ease debt burdens of vulnerable groups, when determining appropriate monetary policy in the future.
  • KResearch views that the MPC may reduce the policy rate twice in 2025 amid heightened economic risk, particularly from US trade policies. Meanwhile, inflation in 2025 is expected to stay below the BOT’s target range of 1-3 percent. The timing of any interest rate cuts will primarily depend on incoming economic data, inflation, and domestic financial conditions.

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Thai Economy