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19 May 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand’s 1Q25 economy grew by 3.1%; KResearch maintains its 2025 GDP forecast at 1.4%, subject to outcome of trade talks (Business Brief No.4157 Full Ed.)

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • Thailand’s 1Q25 GDP expanded by 3.1 percent YoY and 0.7 percent QoQ, driven by a significant improvement in the trade balance due to accelerated exports prior to the US import tariff hike. Additionally, public investment surged from the low base in 1Q24, further supporting GDP growth.
  • However, inventory levels and private investment still weighed on the economy. The strong export growth has not passed on to Thailand’s manufacturing sector. Meanwhile, private consumption and tourism income slowed, although the government implemented stimulus measures in 1Q25, including cash handouts for seniors aged 60 and older (Digital Wallet Phase 2) and tax deductions (Easy E-Receipt 2.0).
  • Thailand’s economic outlook for the rest of 2025 remains highly uncertain. While the US has begun rolling out trade agreements, particularly with China, no clear timeline has been set for reaching a deal with Thailand. Meanwhile, tourism’s contribution to growth this year may decrease. As a result, KResearch maintains its 2025 GDP growth forecast for Thailand at 1.4 percent.

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Thai Economy

GDP