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21 Jan 2026

Thai Economy

Thailand’s economic growth in 2026 is projected to slow to 1.6% due to external risks and domestic politics (Business Brief No.4234 Full Ed.)

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • Thailand’s economic growth in 2026 is projected to slow to 1.6 percent, down from an estimated 2.0 percent in the previous year, with the primary pressure coming from exports, which are likely to contract due to a high base effect, US tariff hikes, and slowing global demand. Meanwhile, the tourism sector may recover slowly. 
  • The key economic driver may remain private consumption, though its momentum is trending downward due to sluggish domestic demand, the end of economic stimulus measures, and a contraction in loan growth. Additionally, political uncertainty is expected to impact budget disbursements, resulting in reduced fiscal support. 
  • Thailand may continue to face deflationary risks, with headline inflation in 2026 projected to grow at 0.4 percent due to easing supply-side pressures, particularly the potential recovery of fresh food prices from a low base in the previous year, while global energy prices may decline.

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Thai Economy

GDP