Rising import costs weigh on ASEAN trade balances, while China continues to post trade surpluses.
- The talks between President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping may help ease tensions in the short term, but trade and technology disputes remain unresolved. China has introduced targeted measures to reduce risks in the real estate sector and strengthen the banking system.
- Bank Indonesia (BI) has maintained interest rates at a high level to support the currency while implementing targeted macroprudential measures to encourage lending and economic growth. The banking sector remains resilient despite pressure on net interest margins.
- Vietnam's economy continues to grow strongly. However, the government's 10% growth target, supported by rapid credit expansion, is placing increasing pressure on domestic funding sources. A widening trade deficit could also affect the strength of Vietnam's external stability.
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