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1 Aug 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand secures a trade agreement with the US, obtaining a more favorable tariff rate of 19%, which could boost its 2025 economic growth to 1.5% (Business Brief No.4179 Full Ed.)

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • On August 1, 2025, the US announced a new reciprocal tariff rate for Thailand at 19 percent, which is significantly lower than the previous 36 percent. The new rate is almost on par with those of other ASEAN member states, but lower than Vietnam’s. Given this, KResearch has upgraded its outlook for Thailand’s export growth in 2H25. 
  •  Under the trade agreement with the US, Thailand must exempt approximately 90 percent of all US imports from tariffs and reduce non-tariff trade barriers. Nonetheless, KResearch believes this market opening may not lead to a massive influx of US goods as feared. 
  • Thailand’s overall economy in 2025 is expected to see slightly improved growth of 1.5 percent, an increase from the prior projection of 1.4 percent, primarily supported by exports. This modest improvement comes amid lower-than-expected tourism growth, compounded by pressure from the Thailand-Cambodia conflict and potentially lower-than-anticipated budget disbursement.

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Thai Economy