• KResearch expects the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to keep the policy rate unchanged at 1.00 percent at its meeting on October 28, 2026, as inflation remains manageable despite a likely pickup driven by higher energy and food prices. The Thai economy is expected to slow in 4Q26, with growth continuing to be uneven.
• Looking ahead, the MPC is expected to maintain the policy rate at 1.00 percent at its December 2026 meeting, as the economic and inflation outlook is unlikely to change materially, and underlying inflationary pressures remain contained.
• The interest rate outlook for 2027 has become more uncertain, hinging on global energy price trends, domestic economic conditions, and monetary policy stances of major central banks.
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