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19 Feb 2021

Econ Digest

Thai stock market rises but volatile…Foreign fund flows are key variables


        The stock market’s rise in response to volatility along with foreign investors holding net selling positions is not unique to the Thai stock market, as several Asian stock markets including Malaysia, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam are also under pressure from foreign sell-offs.

        Therefore, market driving factors to be closely monitored, in addition to the trend of economic recovery, are likely to be market timing, investment cycle, and trend of liquidity both at home and abroad. Particular focus should be on the signals of easing monetary policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed), as well as fundamentals of individual companies/stocks, in order to reduce the chance of losses and enable investment portfolios to continuously deliver sustainable returns. As for Thailand, KResearch views that its economic recovery will depend on its ability to curb the new wave of COVID-19, the effectiveness of government’s economic stimulus and relief measures, and the benefits from vaccination.

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