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9 Jan 2026

International Economy

China’s CPI in 2025 stood at 0%, a 16-year low; deflationary risks may continue to weigh on the Chinese economy in 2026 (Business Brief No.4232 Full Ed.)

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) in December 2025 rose to 0.8 percent YoY, the highest in nearly three years. However, the average full-year 2025 CPI was zero percent, the lowest in 16 years. The main driver continued to be food prices, while core CPI remained stable at 1.2 percent YoY, reflecting a limited recovery in domestic demand. 
  • The Producer Price Index (PPI) for December 2025 continued its long-standing negative trend at (-)1.9 percent YoY. As a result, the full-year 2025 PPI was (-)2.6 percent, marking the third consecutive year of contraction. This reflects persistent deflationary pressures in the industrial sector, stemming from overcapacity, intense price competition, and weak domestic demand. 
  • KResearch expects China’s CPI in 2026 to see a slight recovery but remain at low levels. This is supported by a low base effect, a recovering pork price cycle, and the ‘anti-involution’ policy that will help alleviate downward price pressures. However, deflationary risks will continue to be a significant constraint, as domestic demand has not yet fully recovered.

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International Economy