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30 Apr 2026

Econ Digest

The Fed kept its policy rate unchanged at 3.50–3.75% at its meeting on April 28-29, 2026, as expected. KResearch sees a higher probability that the policy rate will remain unchanged throughout the year.

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • The Federal Reserve (Fed) voted 8-4 to keep the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75%, reflecting growing differences in views amid uncertainty in the Middle East. Three committee members disagreed with the statement signaling that the Fed may resume rate cuts in the future, although they supported keeping rates unchanged at this meeting, while one member supported a 0.25% rate cut at this meeting.
  • Jerome Powell reaffirmed that he will not resign from the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors until the Department of Justice's criminal investigation is concluded. However, once Kevin Warsh is confirmed and formally sworn in, he will immediately assume the position of Fed Chair, replacing Jerome Powell.
  • KResearch sees a higher likelihood that the Fed will keep the policy rate at 3.50–3.75% throughout the year. The probability of a rate cut, as indicated in the Fed's Dot Plot, has declined, as the Fed needs to place greater weight on balancing labor market risks and inflation risks that stem from the impact of the Middle East conflict.

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