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27 Jan 2026

Econ Digest

Garlic and onions imported from China have increasingly entered the Thai market, putting downward pressure on prices during the first four months of 2026.

คะแนนเฉลี่ย
  • Garlic and onions are vegetables for which Thailand’s domestic demand exceeds domestic production, driven by consumption in the industrial and household sectors, as well as use in pharmaceuticals and dietary supplements. Notably, the domestic production season for both garlic and onions is almost entirely concentrated in the first four months of the year.
  • Imports of garlic and onions from China are expected to increase, with Thailand remaining largely dependent on China as the main supplier. During the first four months of 2026, Thailand is projected to increase imports of garlic from China by 13.2% to 40,000 tons, and onions by 5% to 19,200 tons. The key driver is that Chinese prices are around five times cheaper than those in Thailand, reflecting China’s economies of scale, supported by large cultivation areas, lower production costs, and year round production.
  • Thai garlic prices in the first four months of 2026 are expected to decline to an average of 88 baht per kg, while onion prices may fall to an average of 28 baht per kg. These lower prices are unlikely to incentivize farmers to expand production, resulting in downward pressure on output, with garlic production projected to decline to 53,390 tons and onion production to 31,663 tons.

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Econ Digest