After the Chinese government began easing domestic lockdown measures in November 2023, it recently announced the relaxation of inbound travel restrictions, effective January 8, 2023, which is sooner than expected by observers. Therefore, it is most likely that Beijing will allow Chinese nationals to resume outbound travel as usual within the first half of 2023 on an important condition that the current wave of COVID-19 is within control and does not put a strain on the country’s public health system.
We at KResearch project that the number of Chinese tourist arrivals in Thailand during 2023 will increase by more than 3-4 times over that seen in 2022, or to more than 1 million. The figure may be higher if various conditions are conducive to travelling. Although China’s relaxation on various conditions present positive signs for the recovery in the number of Chinese tourist arrivals in Thailand going forward, it may take a while for such figure to reach pre-COVID-19 levels.