2 Apr 2021
Financial Markets
The Baht hit a 5-1/2 month low of THB31.40/USD. The Baht weakened, while the US dollar rose as a safe-haven currency amid concerns about media reports that a US-based hedge fund defaulted on margin calls. The US dollar also extended gains on the prospect of a strong US economic recovery, boosted by the US President Joe Biden’s infrastructure plan. Meanwhile, the Baht fell on profit and dividend repatriation by foreign investors at the end of 1Q-2021. ... Read more
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7 Aug 2020
The Baht fell later in the week, after having risen in early to mid week along with other regional currencies. In addition, the Baht was partially supported by the rising global gold prices. It broke the THB31.00/USD to hit a new 1-month high of THB30.98/USD. However, the baht pared gains somewhat later in the week on position adjustments after the BOT’s comments that its volatility has increased, and the authority would closely monitor its movements. The US dollar also rebounded before the release of the US Non-farm Payrolls data for July. ... Read more
10 Jul 2020
The Baht weakened to a 1-month low last week. The Baht depreciated amid the US dollar buying orders after the Baht broke the key THB31.15/USD level early in the week. In addition, mounting concerns over the impact of worsening COVID-19 situation, especially in the US, on the global recovery supported the US dollar, but hit the Baht sentiment. However, net foreign Thai stock and bond buying orders during the week helped limit some losses. ... Read more
3 Jul 2020
The Baht traded at the weaker side of THB31.00/USD in line with some other regional currencies. The Baht also fell after the Bank of Thailand signaled that a stronger Baht could have negative impacts on Thailand’s economy, while related officials have considered needed measures to help stabilize the Baht movement. The US dollar was supported by short-covering orders and also acted as a safe-haven currency amid concerns over the risk of a second wave of COVID-19 in the US and the tensions between US-China regarding Hong Kong issues.... Read more
7 Feb 2020
The Baht weakened later in the week. The Baht rose slightly early in the week due to position adjustments before the BOT’s MPC meeting. However, the Baht dropped later during the rest of the week after the BOT decided to cut its policy rate to 1.00%, while the BOT governor said that although the Baht has weakened since the beginning of the year, but it was not in line with Thailand’s fragile economic fundamentals. In addition, the Baht fell on net foreign stock and bond selling orders, while the US dollar rose on strong US economic data, including manufacturing and service PMIs, as well as private-sector employment.... Read more
6 Dec 2019
The Baht weakened against the US dollar. The Baht faced sell-offs early in the week in line with falling safe-haven currencies and assets, triggered by stronger-than-expected Chinese PMI data. The Baht fell further later in the week to a 1-month low of THB30.38/USD, after the BOT signaled to closely monitor the Baht movements and warned that the Baht would likely be volatile and might not have one-sided gains as seen in the past months. The Baht’s losses were also in line with net foreign selling orders of Thai stocks. ... Read more
29 Nov 2019
The Baht traded in a narrow range almost all trading days of the week. The Baht fell early in the week after both the US and Chinese Presidents signaled a possible trade deal between the two countries. The US dollar also gained on stronger-than-expected 3Q-2019 GDP and October durable goods orders data. However, the Baht found some support during the week amid heightened tension between the US and China on issues related to Hong Kong, and the first phrase of trade deal before the deadline set by the US to raise tariffs on imported goods from China on December 15, 2019.... Read more
15 Nov 2019
The Baht strengthened against the US dollar. Regarded as a safe-haven currency, the Baht rose in line with the JPY amid concerns about the US-China trade talks. The US President Donald Trump said earlier in the week that there was no agreement yet to roll back tariffs on imported goods from China, and the US could impose more tariffs if the talks ended without the first phase trade deal. However, the Baht was later traded in a narrow range as investors awaited developments of the US-China negotiations... Read more
8 Nov 2019
The Baht fell to THB30.43/USD, the weakest level in 3 weeks. The Baht faced hefty sell-offs after the BOT’s MPC decided to cut its policy rate to 1.25% and relaxed rules to facilitate capital outflows and lessen pressure on the Thai baht. Moreover, a weaker Baht was also in line with other safe-haven currencies and assets, including the Yen and gold amid positive signs for the first phase of the US-China trade deal. ... Read more
1 Nov 2019
The Baht traded in a narrow range near THB30.15/USD, which is the strongest level in over six years. The Baht briefly fell early in the week in line with a weaker JPY, which was seen as a safe-haven currency after the US and China signaled that they were close to finalize some parts of their trade deal. However, the Baht strengthened later on the back of the US dollar’s broad sell-offs following the Fed’s decision to cut its policy rate at their third straight meeting to 1.50-1.75%. The US dollar also fell on weaker-than-expected US economic data.... Read more
26 Jul 2019
The Baht weakened against the US dollar. The Baht fell early to mid week amid expectations that the Fed might not aggressively cut its policy rate in the near future. The Baht’s weakness was also in line with net foreign bond selling orders. Meanwhile, the US dollar rose on the budget deal between the Congress and President Trump’s administration, as well as the IMF’s upward revision to the US 2019 GDP outlook. Also, market participants became more cautious towards the Fed’s stance at its meeting scheduled for the end of this month after US economic data came out stronger than expected. ... Read more
14 Jun 2019
The Baht hit a 3-1/2 month high of THB31.14/USD. The Baht rose along with net foreign stock and bond buying orders earlier in the week. In addition, the US dollar tumbled on an expectation that the Fed might cut its policy rate by the end of the year, and disappointing US economic data, including weak inflation and weekly jobless claims data.... Read more
7 Jun 2019
The Baht hit the strongest level in over 3 months at THB31.28/USD. The Baht strengthened in line with net foreign stock and bond buying orders, while the US dollar fell on the Fed Chairman’s remarks that the Fed would act appropriately to sustain the US economic expansion, fuelling expectation of the US rate-cut later this year. Weaker than expected US economic data, including ADP employment data, also weighed down the US dollar sentiment.... Read more
31 May 2019
The Baht strengthened, after having fallen earlier in the week. The Baht weakened along with other regional currencies that were pressured by concerns about the trade tension between the US and China. However, the Baht rebounded later in the week on net stock and bond buying orders of foreign investors. Report on the macroeconomic and FX policies of major trading partners released by the US Treasury showed that Thailand was not added in the monitoring list as market participants were concerned before.... Read more
24 May 2019
The Baht rebounded later in the week, after having fallen to the THB32.00/USD level. The Baht fell early to mid week, along with the weaker Yuan and other regional currencies amid heightened trade tension between the US and China. However, the Baht pared losses somewhat and recovered later in the week on technical buying orders, while regional stocks and currencies also recouped their losses.... Read more
17 May 2019
The Baht weakened later in the week. The Baht fell briefly in line with weaker Yuan and other Asian currencies. The Baht later rebounded to a 2-1/2 month high of THB31.45/USD on net foreign bond buying orders, as market participants put focus on the US Treasury’s FX report. However, the Baht fell later in the week on weak Asian currencies amid cautious sentiment related to the US-China trade talks, while the US dollar gained momentum on stronger-than expected US economic data. ... Read more
10 May 2019
The Baht tested the THB31.55/USD level, an over 1-month high, in late week. The Baht rose early in the week amid heightened tension between the US and China on their trade deal. In addition, there were short-covering orders, as Thai financial markets reopened after long holidays. The Baht weakened briefly due to the BOT’s MPC meeting result, but rebounded to an over 1-month high later in the week, as the US dollar fell on weak economic reports, and cautious sentiment ahead of the final US-China trade talks.... Read more
3 May 2019
The Baht fell slightly, but still traded within a narrow range around THB32.00/USD. The Baht edged up early in the week, as the US dollar barely drew any support ahead of the FOMC meeting. The Baht weakened later in the week, as the US dollar rose after the Fed gave no signal to cut its policy rate in the near future. In addition, the Baht fell on net foreign bond selling orders. ... Read more
26 Apr 2019
The Baht hit a near 4-month low of THB32.10/USD, before paring losses. The Baht fell in line with net foreign selling orders of Thai bonds and weak regional currencies. The US dollar rose on stronger-than-expected US economic data, and also extended gains against the Euro on the back of concerns about the slower economic prospects in Germany and the Eurozone. However, the Baht pared losses somewhat and rebounded late in the week.... Read more
19 Apr 2019
The Baht fell to THB31.80/USD. The Baht weakened after the reopening of domestic financial markets following long public holidays. The Baht’s weakness was in line with net foreign stock and bond selling orders while the US dollar gained on stronger-than-expected US economic data, including a fall in February trade deficit, declines in weekly jobless claims over the past five weeks, and an increase in US retail sales.... Read more
12 Apr 2019
The Baht pared gains later in the week. The Baht rose early in the week on foreign investors’ net buying orders of Thai stocks, while the US dollar fell on a weak US Factory Orders data for February. Later, the Baht pared gains on net foreign bond selling orders, as well as weak regional currencies, after the IMF cut its global growth forecast to 3.3% this year. The Baht rebounded late in the week in line with the Yuan on the back of a stronger-than-expected Chinese export data for March.... Read more
5 Apr 2019
The Baht fell later in the week. The Baht rose early in the week in alignment with the Yuan and other regional currencies amid stronger-than-expected Chinese PMI reported for March. However, the Baht’s upside gains were still limited as market participants awaited a clearer picture of domestic political factors. In addition, the US dollar rose on optimism about the US-China trade deal and buying orders ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls data.... Read more
29 Mar 2019
The Baht rebounded slightly, after having fallen earlier in the week. The Baht fell early to mid week in line with net foreign selling orders in the Thai stock and bond markets, while investors kept an eye on political situations after the general elections. In addition, the US Dollar rose amid concerns about the global economic slowdown. The Baht hit the weakest level of the week at THB31.95/USD before rebounded somewhat later in the week after there was a clearer picture for domestic political factors than early in the week.... Read more
22 Mar 2019
The Baht stayed in a narrow range, but was volatile after the MPC and FOMC meetings. The Baht moved in a narrow band before falling to a 2-week low of THB31.97/USD after the BOT’s MPC members unanimously voted to keep its policy rate at 1.75%, and the BOT also revised downward its 2019 GDP forecast. However, the Baht rebounded on the US dollar sell-offs after the Fed signaled that it might not raise its policy rate later this year. The Baht stayed in a narrow range again late in the week before the general elections at home.... Read more
22 Feb 2019
The Baht hit the highest level in more than 5 years at THB31.07/USD, before reversing those gains later in the week. The Baht rose along with risky assets and other regional currencies, including the Yuan amid the US-China trade talks. It also gained on hefty net foreign stock buying orders in mid-week. However, the Baht reversed all gains toward the end of the week on short-covering orders for the US dollar and a weaker-than-expected Thai export data for January. ... Read more
1 Feb 2019
The Baht hit an almost 9-month high of THB31.18/USD after the FOMC meeting. The Baht rose in line with net foreign stock buying orders and other Asian currencies. The US dollar, however, tumbled on the Fed’s dovish statement. The Fed cut a reference to the Fed’s plan for further gradual rate hikes and gave a cautious approach for the months to come. ... Read more
30 Nov 2018
The Baht broke the THB33.00/USD level. The Baht rose amid the US dollar’s sell-offs after the Fed Chairman said that the Fed’s benchmark rate is just below neutral level. The remarks were seen as a signal for a slower tightening cycle of the Fed rate hikes in 2019. However, the Baht’s upside gains were limited, as market participants awaited the outcome of the summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. ... Read more
14 Sep 2018
The Baht hit a 2-month high last week. The Baht fell briefly early in the week on concerns about the fragile emerging markets while the US dollar extended gains on a stronger-than-expected US Non-farm Payrolls data. However, the Baht rebounded later in the week, along with net foreign buying orders in the Thai stock and bond markets. In addition, the US dollar faced sell-offs, after the US CPI and PPI inflation data came out weaker than market expectations. The ECB’s signal to end its QE program also weighed down the US dollar. ... Read more
7 Sep 2018
The Baht traded in a narrow range, but weaker than the previous week. The Baht fell on weak regional currencies that were pressured by sell-offs of emerging market currencies on the back of their fragile economies. Meanwhile, the US dollar was supported by ongoing trade disputes between the US and its key trading partners, i.e., Canada and China. The Baht also weakened, along with net foreign stock selling orders. However, weaker-than-expected US economic data triggered the US dollar sell-offs for position adjustments ahead of the US Non-farm Payroll report. ... Read more
24 Aug 2018
The Baht broke the THB33.00/USD level. The Baht rose to a 2-month high of THB32.65/USD after the Yuan and other Asian currencies rose on the back of optimism on the US-China trade negotiations. The US dollar faced sell-offs after US President Trump criticized the Fed Chairman and said that he disagreed with the Fed’s rate-hike decision. The Baht pared gains later in the week, while the US dollar recovered on investors’ short-covering ahead of the annual Jackson Hole symposium and no development concerning US-China trade talks. ... Read more
26 Jul 2018
The Baht rose against the US dollar. A stronger Baht was in line with other Asian currencies, while the US dollar faced sell-offs after the US President said that the Fed’s tightening cycle might have impacts on the US economy and the strong US dollar could result in weaker US competitiveness. The US dollar also fell on disappointing US economic data, including Preliminary PMI data for July, and New Home Sales data for June. Meanwhile, the Baht also gained on net foreign stock and bond buying orders.... Read more
13 Jul 2018
The Baht hit over 9-month low of THB33.29/USD. The Baht fell to THB33.36/USD, the weakest level in 9 months. A weaker Baht was in line with the Yuan and regional currencies amid concern about the international trade situation between the US and China. Meanwhile, the US dollar also gained on strong US economic reports, including higher CPI and PPI inflation, and lower weekly jobless claims data, that supported the Fed’s gradual rate hike cycle. ... Read more
6 Jul 2018
The Baht hit over 8-month low of THB33.29/USD. The Baht and regional currencies fell along with risky assets, and Chinese Yuan (although the PBOC signaled to monitor the Yuan movement) amid concern about the international trade situation between the US and China, as US tariffs imposed on imports from China took effective on July 6. Meanwhile, the Baht’s weakness was capped somewhat ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls data. ... Read more
29 Jun 2018
The Baht hit over 8-month low of THB33.22/USD. The Baht fell along with Chinese Yuan, most Asian Currencies, and other risky assets amid concerns about the international trade situation between the US and their trading partners, especially restrictions on investment and trade. The Baht was also pressured by net foreign stock and bond selling orders. ... Read more
15 Jun 2018
The Baht hit over 5-month low of THB32.46/USD. The Baht fell on net foreign stock and bond selling orders, while the US dollar rose strongly after the FOMC meeting. The Fed gave a hawkish signal that there would be two more rate hikes later in the year, compared with one hike signaled earlier. The US dollar also rose after the ECB said that their policy rate would be kept at low levels despite the halts of their QE measures.... Read more
8 Jun 2018
The Baht fell later in the week. The Baht edged up early- to mid-week in line with strong regional currencies, net foreign bond buying orders, and the US dollar sell-offs, especially against the Euro that was supported by expectation for the ECB’s signals to terminate their QE program by the end of this year. The Baht, however, reversed those gains and later fell in late week on the back of the US dollar short-covering ahead of the G-7 schedule and the FOMC meeting on June 12-13.... Read more
1 Jun 2018
The Baht weakened slightly. The Baht fell to the weaker side of THB32.00/USD in early to mid week, along with weak regional currencies and net foreign selling orders for Thai stocks, while the US dollar also gained, especially against the Euro, pressured by concern about political uncertainty in Italy. However, the Baht rebounded somewhat later in the week on net foreign bond purchases. Meanwhile, the US dollar fell on fading concerns about political situation in Italy and renewed uncertainty about trade policy about the US and their trading partners.... Read more
27 Apr 2018
The Baht hit a 2-month low. The Baht fell, while the US dollar rose along with the rising US bond yields. US 10-year yield surged to above 3%, the highest level in 4 years. In addition, the weak Baht was also in line with net stock and bond selling orders of foreign investors during the week. ... Read more
9 Oct 2017
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