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Industry Outlook Analysis

23 Nov 2020


Thai exports recovery stumbles in October, contracting further by 6.71 percent YoY; projection for full-year 2020 remains at -7.0 percent (Business Brief No.3898)

Despite indications that the global economy would continue to recover in October 2020, Thai export figures for the month plunged by 6.71 percent YoY to USD 19.37 billion. Regardless, upon exclusion of products related to oil, gold and munitions, exports fell by 4.89 percent YoY, only a slight contra... Read more

18 Nov 2020


From Trump to Biden: Thai auto parts exporters should hasten to adjust their strategies to cope with several major changes in the US (Current Issue No.3161)

Entering 2021, the Thai auto parts industry may have to contend with new challenges that have emerged in the US, one of its primary importers. Of late, the US has announced the suspension of GSP privileges, which included many auto parts that are produced in Thailand. For this reason, Thai auto part... Read more

16 Nov 2020


Concentrated Latex: Key Feedstock to Meet the Need for Rubber Glove Production (Current Issue No.3160)

KResearch is of the view that concentrated latex prices in Thailand will likely bounce back over the short term or during the remainder of 2020 through to 2021 to a range of THB53-58/kg. The recovery will be supported by steady demand growth seen in rubber gloves, especially rubber medical gloves. T... Read more

2 Nov 2020


US moves to cut Thailand’s GSP privileges for the second time in 2020, working against US-bound exports in 2021 (Current Issue No.3157)

It is now apparent that Thailand will continue to lose its tariff privileges in penetrating the US market. In 2020, Thailand’s GSP tariff privileges have been revoked twice, totaling approximately USD 2.2 billion, or 45 percent of export value for products that benefit from GSP (Total Thai exports c... Read more

2 Nov 2020


Indonesia Set to Become Thailand’s Rival in BEV Production (Current Issue No.3156)

Electric vehicles (EVs) have increasingly made their presence felt within ASEAN, in particular investment in EV production in Thailand and Indonesia. Currently, Thailand has an edge over Indonesia in terms of EV manufacturing, thanks to the government’s clear policy of supporting the EV industry. Si... Read more

28 Oct 2020


Key Industries May Recover at Different Paces in 2021, Though Most of Them Unlikely to Resume Growth at Pre-COVID-19 Levels (Current Issue No.3153)

Under assumptions that there is no serious resurgence of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in Thailand, which allows the relevant authorities to gradually relax international travel restrictions, and the majority of people in Thailand receives COVID-19 vaccines in late 2021 while the domestic poli... Read more

27 Oct 2020


Domestic travel market in the final stretch of 2020; Thais have travel plans but also worry over COVID-19, the economy and politics (Current Issue No.3152)

After the government managed to successfully contain the spread of COVID-19 and issued stimulus packages like the ‘We Travel Together’ campaign to boost domestic tourism, the number of Thai tourists traveling domestically markedly increased. Based on data provided by the Ministry of Tourism and Spor... Read more

26 Oct 2020


Global Supply Chain Management Shifts to Just-in-Case System to Cope with Uncertainties Surrounding Global Supply Chain Disruption (Current Issue No.3151)

As global supply chains have been stalled by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, industrial sectors around the world are now aware of the weaknesses arising from the just-in-time inventory management strategy. Amid increased risks stemming from the resurgence of COVID-19 and trade war, the world’s ... Read more

22 Oct 2020


Thai exports in Sep. 2020 shrink 3.9%, with contraction of 7.0% expected for full-year 2020 (Business Brief No.3892)

Thai exports in September 2020 stood at USD 19.6213 billion, or a contraction of 3.9 percent YoY, amid a rise in global demand compared to the previous month. Thai exports over the first nine months shrank 7.3 percent YoY, with the lone bright spot being export growth in electronic products and elec... Read more

8 Oct 2020


5G Smartphone Market, 2020: Taking Some Time to Reach Mass Market (Current Issue No.3147)

Due to increased competition in the telecom sector and a staggering investment in 5G networks at more than THB10 billion, Thai telecom operators are now accelerating the expansion of their 5G user bases by inducing more consumers to use 5G smartphones, which will in turn help boost the uptake of 5G ... Read more

1 Oct 2020


Issues regarding the policy to promote the use of domestic steel (Business Brief No.3146)

For the past several years, Thailand’s steel industry has encountered challenges that stem from price competition against steel imports from China due mainly to steel oversupply in the global market. Since 2014, Chinese steel manufacturers have cleared out their excessive stock via exports to market... Read more

30 Sep 2020


Cloud solutions service…key driver of B2B digital market amid COVID-19 crisis, growing 19% in 2020 (Current Issue No.3145)

The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted many businesses to rely more on the use of digital technology in their operations, leading to dramatic changes across the operational landscape of business-to-business (B2B) digital market, from solely focusing on elevating efficiency and creating new business chan... Read more

29 Sep 2020


Retail Business, 4Q20: Contracting Only 7.2%, Thanks to Government’s 3,000-Baht Cash Handouts (Current Issue No.3144)

KResearch views that the government’s 3,000-Baht cash handout program (50 percent of all spending is subsidized by the state, but not exceeding THB3,000), effective October – December, 2020, for 10 million people has conditions that differ from other previous stimulus measures such as the “Chim-Sho... Read more

24 Sep 2020


Mooncake Market 2020: Turnover set to contract by 15.8%, reflecting grim economic conditions (Current Issue No.3141)

KResearch expects the mooncake market for 2020 to be valued at an estimated THB800 million, or a contraction of 15.8 percent YoY, as the market has suffered a severe setback from deteriorating purchasing power as a result of COVID-19. This projected fall in market value is attributed to fewer partic... Read more

24 Sep 2020


August Exports Contracted Slower than Expected at 7.9%, but Close Attention Must be Paid to Global Economic Risks (Business Brief No.3886)

Thailand’s outward trade contracted 7.9 percent YoY in August 2020. As a result, 8M20 exports shrank 7.8 percent YoY. Excluding oil, gold and arms exports, Thai shipments, however, contracted 14.1 percent YoY in August 2020, accelerating over the 13.0 percent YoY shrinkage reported for July 2020. Au... Read more

22 Sep 2020


Stringent Controls on Myanmar’s Border May Have Short-term Impact on Border Trade, but 2020 Cross-Border Exports to Myanmar Projected to Fall below THB100 Billion due to COVID-19 (Current Issue No.3138)

Thailand is facing hurdles in transporting goods across the border to Myanmar again after a recent announcement by Myanmar to tighten its cross-border controls as part of its COVID-19 prevention and control measures. Such controls include a requirement for truck drivers from Thailand via Chiang Rai’... Read more

18 Sep 2020


Eco-friendly food and beverage packaging market may reach THB13-16 billion in 2025 (Current Issue No.3137)

The packaging waste crisis is worsening in line with an increase in consumption, the growth of convenience food and the massive expansion of food delivery services during the period of semi-lockdown measures to counter the spread of COVID-19. More than half of all packaging waste comes from food and... Read more

17 Sep 2020


Cross-Border Data Flows: Helping Thailand Attract Investment during the Digital Era, but Efforts Must Be Accelerated to Find Partners (Current Issue No.3136)

Presently, cross-border data flows are imperative for business growth and global trade in the digital economy era. Business organizations now view that they have to rely on cross-border data flows in order to better understand market conditions and customers, as well as for international trade and s... Read more

16 Sep 2020


Ministry of Commerce Bans Imports of E-Waste ... Eyeing imports of Used Electronics as They May Turn into Waste (Current Issue No.3134)

The Ministry of Commerce has issued a Notification on the ban of electronic waste (e-waste) imports per HS Codes 84 and 85, specifically for Commodity Code 899, or the ban of e-waste imports under the Basel Convention, effective September 15, 2020. Currently, Thailand’s imports of electronics classi... Read more

2 Sep 2020


Precipitation and Rice Output need to be Monitored in 1-2 Months (Current Issue No.3132)

We, at KResearch, are of the view that ongoing flooding in many of the northern and northeastern provinces of Thailand may not significantly affect the overall agricultural output, especially rice grown during the rainy season, because the rice harvesting season has yet to arrive. This coupled with ... Read more

27 Aug 2020


FTA backs automotive industry, establishing links to global supply chains and boosting cars and auto parts exports and investment (Current Issue No.3129)

Presently, automobile and auto parts manufacturers, especially Japanese brands, are progressively moving away from production processes that emphasize keeping costs low, like lean production, to production that leans more towards agile supply chains in order to quickly respond to potentially volatil... Read more

24 Aug 2020


Thai Shipments Contracted 11.4% in July…2020 Exports Projected to Shrink 12.0% Amid Risks to Global Economy (Business Brief No.3881)

Thailand’s outward trade was USD18,819 million, shrinking 11.4 percent YoY in July 2020. Excluding oil, gold and arms shipments, Thai exports, however, contracted 13.0 percent YoY. Gold exports reverted to growth of 37.2 percent YoY in July in line with global gold prices, while industrial product a... Read more

5 Aug 2020


Food delivery businesses set to expand due to intensifying competition post-COVID-19; while big operators set sight on shaping their platforms into ‘Super Applications’ (Current Issue No.3128))

The COVID-19 pandemic and resulting stringent countermeasures issued by the Thai government have resulted in temporary closures and limited business operations. Restaurant business, in particular, was for a time left with two options: takeaway and food delivery via mobile application, which has now ... Read more

24 Jul 2020


Sustainable business management: mechanism to steer the economy and society towards the future (Current Issue No.3127)

Based on the Environmental Performance Index (EPI) for 2020, Thailand is ranked at no. 78 in the world, moving up from no. 121 in 2018 – which is better in comparison to countries of similar ranking in 2018, such as China and the Philippines. In consideration of the various indicators, Thailand has... Read more

24 Jul 2020


Gluten-free Flour Should be Promoted as Product Champion to Add Value to Cassava by over 8.2 Times in 2027 (Current Issue No.3126)

Gluten-free flour can be promoted as a product campaign via cassava processing, based on a new knowledge like bioeconomy. Bioeconomy is a new model for the economy, with the aim of adding value to agricultural products. As Thailand has a plentiful supply of cassava, processing cassava into various ... Read more

8 Jul 2020


Extension of Relief Measures for SMEs Keeps Economic and Financial Systems Intact (Current Issue No.3123)

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has adversely affected both the business sector and households, with SMEs being the major casualty. For this reason, financial assistance measures are geared towards SMEs during 1H20. Since a debt moratorium, which is one of those important measures, is due to exp... Read more

24 Jun 2020


Lockdown Measures Abroad Caused Thai Exports to Contract 22.5% in May Despite Skyrocketing Gold Shipments (Business Brief No.3873)

The value of Thailand’s outward trade stood at USD16,278 million, shrinking 22.5 percent YoY in May 2020 due primarily to lockdown measures abroad. As a result, Thai exports contracted 3.7 percent YoY during 5M20.... Read more

18 Jun 2020

Real Estate and Construction

Residential Market during the Remainder of 2010 Hinges Chiefly on Consumer Purchasing Power (Current Issue No.3119)

In 1H20, indicators for the housing market in Greater Bangkok have declined in line with the business environment. New home purchases fell by approximately 75 percent YoY on average during 5M20 while the number of home ownership transfers dropped 3.4 percent YoY, ... Read more

18 Jun 2020


Domestic stimulus packages after easing of the lockdown encouraging Thais to travel domestically to generate income of around THB 41 billion (Current Issue No.3118)

The COVID-19 situation in Thailand has improved to the extent that the government has eased lockdown measures on interprovincial travel, public transport systems, airports and tourist destinations, allowing services in these sectors to return to normal. On June 16, 2020, the Thai cabinet approved th... Read more

11 Jun 2020


Packaging for last-mile delivery business to hold a value of THB14.4 billion in 2020; 15-18 percent growth amid intense competition (Current Issue No.3117)

The packaging business has had to contend with challenges from COVID-19 and economic conditions that have caused a decline in consumers’ purchasing power. Demand for packaging in downstream industries is likely to drop, in line with a slowdown in the manufacturing sector. The overall packaging busi... Read more

5 Jun 2020


COVID-19 steers food processing industry towards automation; reducing labor intensity and raising food safety standards (Current Issue No.3116)

The spread of COVID-19 and a labor shortage have pushed the food processing industry, which is extremely labor intensive, to consider increased usage of automation. Apart from lowering production risks that are associated with manual labor, the system plays a part in raising safety standards in food... Read more

28 May 2020


Price of agricultural products in 2H20 facing worse outlook due to supply-related pressure and COVID-19 impact (Current Issue No.3114)

KResearch expects that prices of Thai agricultural products in 1H20 will continue to sustain themselves as they contend with negative factors like a severe seasonal drought (between January and April) which caused extensive damage to farm output – particularly rice, cassava and sugarcane, and the on... Read more

26 May 2020


E-commerce market value to stall at 8-10 percent growth as ‘New Normal’ ushers in a more competitive environment (Current Issue No.3112)

KResearch views that, while the ‘New Normal’ has helped to stimulate growth for online retail stores, retailers still face ever more fierce competition, especially foreign E-Market place operators, which are expected to be the most affected group and subjected to heightened competition. Since the on... Read more

22 May 2020


Thai exports for April 2020 grew by 2.1percent, thanks to a dramatic rise in gold exports by 1,103 percent and other temporary factors (Business Brief No.3866)

The value of Thai exports for April 2020 stood at USD 18,948.2 million, with continuous expansion for the second consecutive month at a rate of 2.12 percent YoY – contrary to analysts’ earlier projection of a 4.6 percent contraction. The fact that many of Thailand’s trade partners have enforced lock... Read more

19 May 2020


Game Cloud Computing: New Business with Promising Growth via Understanding of Thai Consumers (Current Issue No.3111)

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has not only resulted in the growing popularity of gaming, but also opened business opportunities for game cloud computing (GCC) entrepreneurs in Thailand. Given this, we at KResearch have assessed that turnover in the GCC market may grow from THB7.3 billion repor... Read more

15 May 2020


Average shrimp prices for 2H20 expected to experience a low rate of recovery, supported by price stabilization program and reduced excess supply (Current Issue No.3109)

Oversupply is the key factor in the falling price of shrimp since early 2020, as output has far exceeded demand. Related government agencies have prepared for the approval of assistance measures for related parties within the production chain through the 2020 Shrimp Price Stabilization Program. KRes... Read more

7 May 2020


COVID-19 causes Thai auto industry to plunge to a 9-year low… leading to supply chain adjustments and new parts production processes (Current Issue No.3107)

The ongoing COVID-19 global crisis has affected the Thai automobile industry in many different aspects, as the economic recession which is playing out in Thailand and at the international level remains the key factor impacting purchase orders for cars, both domestically and in export markets. As a c... Read more

5 May 2020


COVID-19 Causes New Normal of Rubber Prices...Thailand Must Adjust to Era of Prolonged Low Rubber Prices (Current Issue No.3106)

KResearch assesses that the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in 2020 will be a short-term factor causing the rubber price structure to change over the long term. This represents an important turning point that will result in a new normal of rubber prices, i.e., rubber prices will likely move within a... Read more

30 Apr 2020


COVID-19 to cause 21% plunge in Thai PCB exports for 2020 before rebound next year in response to 5G trends and changing consumer behavior (Current Issue No.3103)

The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 is likely putting pressure on the value of Thailand’s exports of Printed Circuit Boards (PCBs), with an expected contraction of 20.9 to 23.6 percent, for an estimated export value of USD 927.4 - 960.8 million, in line with reduced global demand for electronic products. ... Read more

30 Apr 2020


2020 Retail Business to Shrink 5-8% … Entrepreneurs Face More Challenges Post COVID-19 (Current Issue No.3102)

KResearch views that the government’s plans to gradually ease lockdown measures, including allowing small retail stores to reopen on May 3, 2020 and large retail stores on June 1, 2020 represent positive signs and offer an opportunity for retail businesses to generate earnings again via their premis... Read more

30 Apr 2020


Domestic Travel Faces New Challenges Post COVID-19 …Thais Projected to Make only 79.5-89.5 Million Domestic Trips in 2020 (Current Issue No.3104)

An improvement in the COVID-19 situation is being seen in Thailand as the number of new infections nationwide has declined steadily while no new cases were found in many provinces for many days. This represents a positive sign for the country and if no new infections are found, people and businesses... Read more

24 Apr 2020


COVID-19 Causes 2020 Thai Exports to US to shrink for the First Time in 10 Years at 9.2% (Current Issue No.3101)

Thai exports to the US contracted 2.7 percent YoY in 1Q20. Excluding products related to arms and tanks for military drills, which caused our export base to become volatile, our shipments to the US grew 15.8 percent YoY. The increase was supported by the US-China trade war, which helped bolster our ... Read more

21 Apr 2020


Thai Exports Grew 0.9% in 1Q20 bolstered by Short-Term Gold and Electronics Shipments (Business Brief No.3862)

The value of Thailand’s outward trade reverted to growth for the first time in five quarters of 0.9 percent YoY in 1Q20, boosted by favorable gold and electronics shipments. However, oil-related exports were dampened by plummeting crude oil prices. ... Read more

16 Apr 2020


Effects of COVID-19 pandemic on businesses with on-demand services… Net worth for 2020 expected to reach THB 142 billion (Current Issue No.3099)

Continuous technological development and the increasingly prominent role of smart phones in consumers’ daily lives have impelled businesses across the service industry to elevate their services to meet consumers’ demands in a prompt, anytime-anywhere manner, through multiple platforms whether they a... Read more

10 Apr 2020


China moves to invest and expand its automobile market abroad; quick preparations needed for Thailand, especially in EVs (Current Issue No.3097)

At present, China has established a rising trend in car exports and increasingly invested in automobile production across multiple countries around the world, especially in the category of electric vehicles (EV), which have been considerably well-received, even in the automobile markets of developed... Read more

10 Apr 2020


COVID-19 Pandemic in Neighboring Countries to Cause 2020 Border and Cross-Border Trade to Shrink 12.8% (Current Issue No.3098)

Plummeting oil prices and measures aimed at combating the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in some of Thailand’s neighboring countries caused our border-trade and cross-border exports to contract 8.6 percent YoY during 2M20. The spread of the COVID-10 respiratory disease in all member ASEAN states a... Read more

9 Apr 2020


Hybrid Biomass Community Power Plants Meet Business Goals and Bolster Farm Income (Current Issue No.3096)

Community power plant project is considered one of the important strategic policies to not only build sustainability in energy consumption across communities, but also generate extra income for local residents via sales of agricultural-based materials as fuel. Biomass community power plants may help... Read more

3 Apr 2020


COVID-19 Bolsters Demand and Retail Egg Prices During Most of 2020 (Current Issue No.3095)

Chicken eggs are low-cost source of protein. However, as demand for eggs has soared amid fears over the COVID-19 pandemic, they have been in short supply in several areas. As a result, egg prices skyrocketed during March 2020, triggering concern among consumers. To help alleviate such as an impact o... Read more

1 Apr 2020


Thai rice exports for 2020 slip further… Developing soft white rice into a ‘Fighting Product’ (Current Issue No.3094)

Thai rice exports for 2020 may face the same negative conditions that continue to plague all aspects of trade from the previous year, whether it is a highly competitive global market, world economic problems, depreciation of the Baht, drought, the change in China’s role from importer to exporter, or... Read more

30 Mar 2020


Retail and Restaurant Businesses: Focus on Online Channel Needed amid COVID-19 Outbreak (Current Issue No.3093)

Retail and restaurant businesses will continue to face challenges ahead as steady increases in the number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand have prompted the government to introduce a number of measures, including a temporary closure of certain venues and declaration of a state of emergency, to cur... Read more

27 Mar 2020


Despite the COVID-19 crisis, exports of fresh, chilled and frozen chicken to China are expected to grow up to 20 percent in 2020 (Current Issue No.3092)

Fresh, chilled and frozen chicken are commodities that Thailand can still make good profit from in China, even though closures of key Chinese trade ports to control the spread of COVID-19 from post-Chinese New Year to mid-February 2020 led to some delays and suspension of shipments of fresh, chilled... Read more

23 Mar 2020


Gold – Crude Oil: Major Factors affecting Thai Exports in Feb.2020 (Business Brief No.3856)

Thai Exports in February 2020 remained a hodgepodge of temporary factors, being supported by consistent growth in gold exports but inhibited by a high base effect as a result of munitions rexports and crude oil prices in the preceding year. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 outbreak continued to affect Thai e... Read more

9 Mar 2020


Restaurant Business, 2020: Turnover to Decline by THB26.5-36.5 billion due to COVID-19 Fears (Current Issue No.3090)

The coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic has had a broad impact on many industries. One of the major casualties is the restaurant business because the slowdown in the number of international tourist arrivals to Thailand has adversely affected food and beverage spending, which accounts for roughly 15 perc... Read more

5 Mar 2020


COVID-19 and Sagging Purchasing Power Threaten Thai Retail Market…2020 Turnover Projected to Contract 0.8-2.2% (Current Issue No.3089

We at KResearch view that turnover in the Thai retail market may report a sharp contraction during 1H20 due to a number of factors. These include risk stemming from the COVID-19 outbreak, which is expected to persist during 1H20, and continuing weakness seen in domestic purchasing power resulting fr... Read more

26 Feb 2020


Biofuel Faces Challenges from Car Owners….New Stimuli Needed to Bolster Demand (Current Issue No.3088)

Demand for biofuel blended with diesel and gasoline fuels has increased steadily in recent years, supported by pricing mechanism and the increase in the number of biofuel-powered vehicles. Although prices of biofuel blends are attractive, thanks to state subsidies, such blends with lower proportion ... Read more

24 Feb 2020


2020 Thai Fruit Exports May Shrink on COVID-19 while NTMs Present Long-Term Challenge (Current Issue No.3087)

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic has forced China to close its key border checkpoints and extend the Lunar New Year holidays to February. In addition, cross-border land transportation routes from Vietnam to China have contemporarily been suspended to monitor the COVID-19 outbreak, prompting... Read more

14 Feb 2020


COVID-19 affects 2020 Thai auto market to the tune of 900,000 units and Thai OEM parts for local market and exports (Current Issue No.3086)

The outbreak of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) with the epicenter in China has become unpredictable as it is spreading, adversely affecting the economy worldwide, including China’s automotive sector and the global auto industry, including Thailand’s. All automotive sectors are suffering contraction. C... Read more

12 Feb 2020


Investment in 5G technology...telecom operators face various challenges in terms of market, costs and technology (Current Issue No.3084)

In 2020, Thailand’s wireless communication technology is about to experience another turning point. The National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission (NBTC) will auction the 5G spectrum in the 700 MHz, 1800 MHz, 2600 MHz and 26 GHz frequency bands on February 16, 2020, aiming to roll out t... Read more

6 Feb 2020


Thai Manufacturing Sector May Lose at Least USD1.5 Billion amid Coronavirus Crisis in China (Current Issue No.3081)

The World Health Organization, January 30, 2020, declared that the novel coronavirus (2019 n-CoV) outbreak is a public health emergency of international concern as the virus has spread internationally. In China, the 2019 n-CoV epidemic, which originated in Wuhan, Hubei province, has also spread to o... Read more

5 Feb 2020


Coronavirus outbreak dampens airline business, causing Thai airline business value to contract by 4.3-6.2 percent. (Current Issue No.3080)

The airline businesses have faced tough challenges due to pricing competition, which has steadily reduced the average airfares. Moreover, the demand for air travel began to slow, resulting in a drop in airline business value for the first time in 2019 to 314 billion Baht.... Read more

4 Feb 2020


2020 Car Exports: Shrinking at Least 3% as Thailand’s Trade Partner Economies Hurt by Novel Coronavirus Outbreaks (Current Issue No.3079)

2020 may be another difficult year for Thai car exports. Despite a positive factor, i.e., a likelihood that the Baht may not be as strong as that seen in 2019, there are a number of factors that may inevitably cause Thai car shipments to shrink in 2020. These include economic problems continuing fro... Read more

31 Jan 2020


The ban on single-use plastic bags…pushes business of more than 400 million eco - friendly bags in 2020 (Current Issue No.3078)

From January 1, 2020, Thailand has begun a campaign to ban single-use plastic bags under the Plastic Waste Management Road Map 2018-2030 of the Pollution Control Department. KResearch views that the ban will significantly reduce the amount of single-use plastic bags. It will affect supply chains of ... Read more

24 Jan 2020


Closely monitoring effects from an outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus in China on 2020 Chinese tourism market in Thailand (Current Issue No.3077)

The outbreak of the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (n-CoV) that originated in Wuhan, Hubei province, in late 2019 has caused more patients to sicken and the death toll has risen. Meanwhile, more confirmed cases have been found in other Asian countries, including Thailand, and the US. The Chinese authoritie... Read more

22 Jan 2020


2019 Exports Contracted 2.65% ... Strong Baht and Slowing Global Economy Represent Risks to 2020 Exports (Business Brief No.3845)

The total value of Thai exports came in at USD246,244.5 million, shrinking 2.65 percent YoY in 2019 while the total import value reached USD236,639.9 million, contracting 4.66 percent YoY. As a result, Thailand enjoyed a trade surplus for the fifth consecutive year of USD9,604.6 million.... Read more

17 Jan 2020


Drought Crisis Likely in 2020…Initial Economic Costs Estimated at about THB17-19 Billion (Current Issue No.3074)

Drought has arrived earlier than the previous year in 2020 and it is expected to be prolonged because water levels at dams across the country have declined 33.1 percent YoY. Such water levels are more critical than those seen during the severe drought reported in 2015.... Read more

7 Jan 2020


The first-phase MRO at U-Tapao will almost double growth of Thailand’s aviation maintenance and repair market; Thailand should focus on wide-body aircraft to avoid competition with other main competitors in ASEAN (Current Issue No.3069)

Thailand is one of the aviation hubs in the Asia Pacific region, which is expected to experience a rising demand for aviation maintenance and repair services in the future. The future outlook has become clearer after a cooperative agreement for a Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) facility at U... Read more

3 Jan 2020


2020 is a challenging year for inbound tourism…with international travelers expected to increase 2.0%-3.0% or 40.5-40.9 million people (Current Issue No.3068)

Inbound tourism in 2020 faces a daunting prospect, which affects the number of international tourists and their spending. The market lacks new factors while risks remain and have even worsened. For example, the gloomy global economic sentiment could discourage the international travelers’ activities... Read more

2 Jan 2020


In 2020, restaurant business braces for challenges amid changing forms of competition as the industry is expected to reach THB437– 441 billion (Current Issue No.3067)

The restaurant business is one of the most important to the country’s service sector and economy with small and big operators involved and the turnover exceeding 400 billion Baht, representing 4.7 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP) of the service sector.... Read more

27 Dec 2019


Private Hospitals, 2020: Profit Pressured by Numerous Factors…Income Generated from Non-Hospital Businesses Needed (Current Issue No.3066)

We at KResearch expect that net profit of Thai private hospitals (listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand) will grow 3-6 percent in 2020, declining from the 6-9 percent pace projected for 2019. Private hospitals targeting high- to medium-income patients, in particular, will likely see their profit ... Read more

26 Dec 2019


2020 Thai agricultural direction…will be driven by the government’s policy (Current Issue No.3065)

The outlook of Thai agricultural products in 2020 will continue to be under pressure from drought and the global economic slowdown. Thailand may face severe drought conditions, which will continue from 2019. As of December 25, 2019, the amount of usable water in the dams nationwide stood at 21,197 ... Read more

23 Dec 2019


Global economic slump sinks Thai exports, leading to a contraction for a fourth-straight month in November 2019 (Business Brief No.3840)

Thai exports in November 2019 totaled USD19.657 billion, dropping below USD20 billion for the first time in seven months and plunging for four consecutive months by 7.4 percent YoY, which marks the worst contraction in 43 months. Consequently, Thai exports in the first 11 months (Jan-Nov) of 2019 sh... Read more

12 Dec 2019


Ready-to-Eat Food Market, 2020: Growing 3-5%...Adjustments to Market Conditions and Weak Consumer Purchasing Power Needed (Current Issue No.3060)

We at KResearch view that turnover in the ready-to-eat food market may reach THB20.2-20.5 billion, increasing 3.0-5.0 percent YoY in 2020, thanks to the diversity of new products developed by related entrepreneurs as a result of heightened competition. Meanwhile, the domestic food and beverage marke... Read more

4 Dec 2019


Auto market in 2020 is likely to remain unchanged from 2019 at best… while the market for eco cars and EVs is set to grow (Current Issue No.3059)

KResearch views that the overall auto sales throughout 2019 will contract 2.5 percent from 2018, or totaling 1,015,000 units. The Bank of Thailand’s control measure for auto loan approval, launched in the middle of this year, has become a key factor pressuring auto loan sales.... Read more

28 Nov 2019


Tech disruption due to the trend for electric vehicles globally is affecting auto part producers, especially over 600 Tier-2 producers after 2027 (Current Issue No.3057)

In the past 2 to 3 years, the automobile industry has awakened to the realization that the era of electric vehicles (EV) is coming, resulting in a massive restructuring of the automotive part supply chain worldwide, including Thailand, in 2 aspects; the internal combustion engine (ICE) supply chain ... Read more

28 Nov 2019


Emergence of E-Fulfillment Centers to Transform Thai Warehouse Business Amid Thriving E-Commerce (Current Issue No.3058)

Currently, e-marketplace has begun to increase investment in e- fulfillment centers because e-fulfillment is the key to their business; i.e., it can help create the most satisfying service experience to customers, leading to repeat purchases and bolster sales other than just a product delivery servi... Read more

27 Nov 2019

Real Estate and Construction

New Aid Package to Bolster Residential Property Market in 4Q19 (Current Issue No.3056)

The Cabinet, November 26, 2019, approved new economic stimuli for 4Q19. These include a 50,000-Baht subsidy on a home purchase down payment to ease financial burden of new home buyers, being the government’s third property stimulus measure so far this year. ... Read more

25 Nov 2019


10M19 Shipments Shrank 2.35% 2019 Export Growth Forecast Revised Downward to (-) 2.5% (Business Brief No.3834)

The value of Thai exports reached USD20,757.78 million in October 2019, shrinking 4.54 percent YoY. As a result, 10M19 shipments contracted at a faster pace than that seen during 9M19 of 2.35 percent YoY. The shrinkage in October exports was due to a number of factors, including persistent sluggishn... Read more

15 Nov 2019


Unlocking of Thai-Myanmar land transport bottleneck, border trade is set to turn around in 2020 (Current Issue No.3055)

The latest development at the Thailand-Myanmar border this year is very interesting with the opening of the second Thai-Myanmar Friendship Bridge at the Mae Sot checkpoint in Tak on October 31, 2019. The new bridge was built to ease traffic congestion at the first friendship bridge. Moreover, the au... Read more

11 Nov 2019


Thailand Will Become an Aged Society in 2022 at the Earliest Amid Business Opportunities and Challenges in Terms of Income (Current Issue No.3053)

The rapid aging of population is being seen in many developing countries, while most advanced nations have become full-fledged aging societies. Thailand has been an aging society since 2005 and is expected to become an aged society in 2022 or three years at the earliest. Currently, about 6-8 provinc... Read more

8 Nov 2019


E Logistics Marketplace: Opportunity for Thai carriers amid intensifying competition in the digital era (Current Issue No.3051)

Over the past five years, Thai companies offering road transport services have faced fiercer competition due to an expansion of international logistics giants in Thailand. In the past, these international logistics giants used to focus on serving export oriented industrial manufacturers. Recently... Read more

8 Nov 2019


Retail Trade, 2020: Growing 2.8%...Weak Purchasing Power Continues to Dampen Business (Current Issue No.3052)

As subdued consumer purchasing power continues to pressure the retail business, we at KResearch expect that retail sales will grow approximately 2.7-3.0 percent YoY in 2020, against the 3.1 percent pace projected for 2019. Traditional retail stores and hypermarkets, focusing on grassroots and low-to... Read more

7 Nov 2019


E-Sports drives the gaming industry transition from recreation toward professional sports events to create opportunities for related businesses (Current Issue No.3049)

The multi-sport 30th SEA Games to be held from November 30 – December 11, 2019 in the Philippines will include E-Sports for the first time with the presence of Thai contestants, who are now gearing up to get ready for the competition.... Read more

5 Nov 2019


Hybrid Pickup as Thailand’s New Product Champion is Key to Bolster Pickup Export Growth to Europe to over 47% in Five Years (Current Issue No.3048)

Europe is another important market for Thailand’s pickup exports. However, because of more stringent environmental measures for commercial vehicles in Europe, we at KResearch view that most of Thai pickups shipped to Europe will inevitably have to be upgraded to hybrid pickups over the near future. ... Read more

30 Oct 2019


US GSP Cut: Thai Businesses Need to Brace for Uncertainties Ahead (Current Issue No.3047)

The US, October 25, 2019, announced the suspension of trade preferences for Thailand under the Generalized System of Preference (GSP), covering 573 items and costing approximately USD1.3 billion, effective over the next six months or April 25, 2020. Items that will no longer be eligible for GSP bene... Read more

28 Oct 2019


Upgrade Thai plastic resin quality to become a production base for internationally-accredited medical devices (Current Issue No.3046)

Thailand has so far relied on the imported materials for medical equipment production such as high-quality catheters, even though the Thai plastic industry is regarded as having a solid base throughout the supply chain. However, Thailand’s upstream and midstream manufacturers have focused on product... Read more

24 Oct 2019


Traceability in Agricultural Products to Bolster Thai Organic Product Market (Current Issue No.3045)

The agricultural traceability system serves as an important tool to link production data in each supply chain. The increasing role of modern agricultural technologies will support the adoption of traceability in the entire production process. ... Read more

22 Oct 2019


4Q19: Bangkokians are travelling inside the country more… tourism receipts expected to hit 60 billion Baht (Current Issue No.3043)

During October-December 2019, 76.9 percent of people living in Bangkok have planned to travel, up slightly from the survey in the same period last year; 22.2 percent of the sampled group said the government’s tourism stimulus measures (in October-November 2019) affect their decisions to travel.... Read more

22 Oct 2019

Real Estate and Construction

The reduction in transaction fees for property sector helps boost the market amid various challenging issues (Current Issue No.3044)

Since the beginning of 2019, the residential property market has faced several challenges due to a slowing economy, which affects the confidence of buyers. Moreover, the purchasing power of consumers has not fully recovered. The loan-to-value (LTV) ratio requirement, designed to control the mortgage... Read more

21 Oct 2019


Slowing economy causes Thai exports (excluding gold) in 3Q19 to shrink 4.5%, exports in 4Q19 may come back into positive territory due to front-loading (Business Brief No.3827)

Thai exports in September fell from the previous month, lower than the consensus of the analysts. The lackluster performance is in line with exports of other countries in the region which were affected by the worse-than-expected global economy and the prolonged trade war between the US and China. Ou... Read more

18 Oct 2019


Growth of Thailand’s F&B exports in 2020 is expected to decelerate; consumer trends will determine future export direction (Current Issue No.3042)

KResearch predicts that Thailand’s food and beverage exports in 2019 will increase 3.5 percent YoY, or equivalent to USD26.6 billion, driven by key export items, namely, fresh and frozen and chilled fruit, poultry products (chicken), wheat products, other ready meals and non-alcoholic beverages whic... Read more

10 Oct 2019


Number of European Tourists Visiting Thailand Projected to Reach 6.66 Million, Shrinking 1.5% YoY in 2019 (Current Issue No.3040)

Europe is Thailand’s important foreign tourist market because a large number of European tourists tends to visit Thailand during the final quarter of every year. In addition, they typically take long vocations here and help generate substantial income for travel-related businesses.... Read more

3 Oct 2019


Thai electronic industry opportunity…is presented by the advent of EV and IoT electrical appliances which will drive exports by additional USD1.3 billion in 3 years (Current Issue No.3037)

Thailand’s electronic industry is about to reach a saturation point, and its stance in the global supply chains has gradually become weaker. Thailand, therefore, needs to speed up reforming its electronic industry in line with the evolving technology products in the world market, instead of trying t... Read more

26 Sep 2019


Growth Seen in Chinese Tourists during the Remainder of 2019, Bringing Total Arrivals to 10.80-10.99 Million in 2019 (Current Issue No.3035)

The number of Chinese tourist arrivals to Thailand is recovering gradually, with growth seen for the first time in July through to August 2019 at 1 million visitors. The rebound was attributable to a number of factors, including a visa on arrival (VOA) fee reduction scheme, proactive marketing campa... Read more

24 Sep 2019


Turnover in Last-mile Delivery Business May Reach THB36 Billion in 2020 amid Challenges (Current Issue No.3033)

We at KResearch expect that the last-mile delivery business will grow steadily at 11.0 percent p.a. over the next 2-3 years. Its turnover is projected to reach approximately THB36-37 billion in 2020, supported chiefly by steady growth in the e-commerce business in terms of the number of online shopp... Read more

23 Sep 2019


As neighboring countries enter global supply chains, Thai industry must safeguard its competitive edge (Current Issue No.3032)

Thailand may lose its comparative advantage and soon be surpassed by emerging countries such as Vietnam mainly because Thailand is no longer competitive in terms of labor cost. This is particularly evident in the electronics and textile and apparel industries. Although Thai industry still has a comp... Read more

20 Sep 2019


8M19 Exports Contracted 2.2% while Trade Surplus Continues to Drive up the Baht (Business Brief No.3821)

The slowing global economy, persistent trade war and strong Baht caused Thailand’s outward trade to shrink 2.2 percent p.a. during 8M19. The value of August exports reverted to a contraction of 4.0 percent p.a. However, our industrial exports overall to the US continued to grow, including computers,... Read more

13 Sep 2019


Income Guarantee for Rice, Rubber and Oil Palm Farmers to Bolster 2019 Farm Income Growth to 3.5-3.8% (Current Issue No.3031)

As part of the efforts to lift farm income, the government has a policy of guaranteeing income for farmers growing important crops: i.e., rice, rubber, oil palm, sugarcane, cassava and maize, during 4Q19. The Cabinet, August 27, 2019, approved the income guarantee program for rice farmers for the fi... Read more

9 Sep 2019


Mooncake market in 2019: Price factor...pushes market value up 2.1% (Current Issue No.3029)

KResearch has surveyed consumer behavior during the Mid-Autumn Festival this year and found that most Thais are still interested in buying mooncakes with the proportion of mooncake purchases rising to 61.4 percent in 2019 from 59.6 percent registered in 2018. Most consumers buy Chinese delicacies fo... Read more

28 Aug 2019


Thai Luxury Car Exports to China Look Promising Amid the US-China Trade War (Current Issue No.3026)

Amid a new round of the US-China trade dispute, China has announced a 25 percent tariff hike on US car imports, effective December 15, 2019. This is expected to adversely affect US car shipments to China later on. However, it may benefit Thailand because luxury carmakers, namely BMW and Mercedes Ben... Read more

28 Aug 2019


Supply shortage pushes glutinous rice prices up and it is expected to increase expenditures on food by 2.3-3.2% (Current Issue No.3027)

Domestic prices of glutinous rice rose sharply due to a supply shortage of glutinous paddy during the main crop season 2018/2019 as farmers shifted to grow more Hom Mali fragrant rice. Therefore, the main-crop glutinous rice output fell 1.18 percent YoY. Moreover, the widespread drought, resulting i... Read more

23 Aug 2019


2019 Thai Car Shipments to Shrink 2.7%, But Pick-Up Truck Exports May Grow 2.4%...FTA Negotiations, Especially with EU Needed to Maintain Export Growth (Current Issue No.3025)

KResearch projects that Thai car exports overall may contract 2.7 percent to 1,110,000 units in 2019, dampened by a number of factors. These include the protracted trade war, stronger Baht and substantial declines in our automobile shipments to major markets, namely Australia, as they are experienc... Read more

21 Aug 2019


July Thai exports resume growth as gold shipments surge, 3Q19 exports set to rise before the US imposes tariffs on China (Business Brief No.3815)

Surging gold exports for the second consecutive month helped Thai shipments overall to resume growth for the first time in five months in July 2019. The value of July shipments came in at USD21,205 million, increasing 4.28 percent YoY, driven partly by skyrocketing gold exports for the second conse... Read more

20 Aug 2019


Tourism Stimuli to Help Bolster Domestic Tourism Income to THB1.12 Trillion in 2019 (Current Issue No.3024)

On August 20, 2019, aside from the extension of visa-on-arrival fee waiver for Chinese and Indian citizens, which is scheduled to expire at the end of October 2019, to the end of April 2020, the Cabinet also approved a number of measures, aimed at stimulating domestic tourism. These include: 1) A 1,... Read more

14 Aug 2019


Hong Kong’s protests take a toll on economy…causing Thai exports to lose USD500-900 million (Current Issue No.3021)

Hong Kong’s protests have escalated to the shutdown of Hong Kong international airport, shaking the reputation of one of the Asian financial hubs. Air transportation for passenger and cargo is disrupted. KResearch views that since the volume of Thailand’s outbound shipments to Hong Kong is small; H... Read more