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Economic Analysis

12 Sep 2025

International Economy

FOMC meeting, September 16-17: Fed expected to cut its policy rate by 0.25% for the first time this year following weak job market report (Business Brief No.4193 Full Ed.)

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10 Sep 2025

International Economy

China’s CPI in August 2025 returned to contraction, while the country’s ‘anti-involution’ policy helped slow the decline in PPI (Business Brief No.4192 Full Ed.)

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8 Sep 2025

International Economy

China’s shipments to ASEAN accelerated in August 2025, bolstering its overall export growth by 4.4% (Business Brief No.4191 Full Ed.)

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4 Sep 2025

Thai Economy

Thai inflation in August 2025 contracted steeper than expected; full-year forecast revised down to 0.1% (Business Brief No.4190 Full Ed.)

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2 Sep 2025

International Economy

Protests in Indonesia highlight the country’s inequality; if prolonged, they could drag economic growth below 4.8% (Current Issue No.3599 Full Ed.)

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27 Aug 2025

International Economy

Evergrande shares delisted; China’s property sector remains in crisis (Business Brief No.4189 Full Ed.)

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27 Aug 2025

Thai Economy

Closure of the Thailand-Myanmar border is expected to impact border exports by THB 5.6-9.7 billion per month (Current Issue No.3597 Full Ed.)

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25 Aug 2025

Thai Economy

Substantial front-loading of Thai shipments continued in July 2025, particularly for electronic goods (Business Brief No.4188 Full Ed.)

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20 Aug 2025

International Economy

BI unexpectedly cuts its policy rate to 5.0% to brace for the sluggish economy (Business Brief No.4187 Full Ed.)

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18 Aug 2025

Thai Economy

Thai economy expanded by 2.8% in 2Q25 as expected; KResearch maintains Thailand’s 2025 GDP growth forecast at 1.5% (Business Brief No.4186 Full Ed.)

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15 Aug 2025

International Economy

China has a new plan to stimulate consumption through subsidized lending rates to mitigate the impact of the renewed trade war (Business Brief No.4185 Full Ed.)

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7 Aug 2025

International Economy

Indonesia’s 2Q25 economy grew at fastest pace in two years, but may slow in 2H25 due to the impact of US tariffs and falling nickel prices (Business Brief No.4181 Full Ed.)

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7 Aug 2025

International Economy

China’s exports in July 2025 grew more than expected at 7.2% YoY, with shipments to Thailand in the first seven months showing the highest growth in ASEAN (Business Brief No.4182 Full Ed.)

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6 Aug 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand’s July inflation recorded the sharpest contraction in 17 months of 0.70% YoY; full-year inflation may remain at 0.3% (Business Brief No.4180 Full Ed.)

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1 Aug 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand secures a trade agreement with the US, obtaining a more favorable tariff rate of 19%, which could boost its 2025 economic growth to 1.5% (Business Brief No.4179 Full Ed.)

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24 Jul 2025

International Economy

Indonesia secures a 19-percent tariff, while having to open its market and accept comprehensive US conditions (Business Brief No.4178 Full Ed.)

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23 Jul 2025

International Economy

At the July 29-30 FOMC meeting, the Fed may keep its interest rates unchanged as it awaits the potential impacts after reciprocal tariffs set to take effect on August 1, 2025 (Business Brief No.4176 Full Ed.)

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17 Jul 2025

International Economy

BI cuts its policy rate to 5.25% to support economic growth; trade deal with the US positive for Rupiah’s stability (Business Brief No.4175 Full Ed.)

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15 Jul 2025

International Economy

China’s economy in 1H25 grew more than expected at 5.3% YoY, with full-year 2025 growth projected to exceed the original forecast at 4.8% (Business Brief No.4174 Full Ed.)

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14 Jul 2025

International Economy

China’s exports rose by 5.8% YoY in June 2025, with shipments to Thailand posting the highest growth in ASEAN (Business Brief No.4173 Full Ed.)

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9 Jul 2025

International Economy

China’s PPI still shows signs of contraction, broadening the influx of low-cost Chinese goods into ASEAN, including Thailand (Business Brief No.4172 Full Ed.)

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8 Jul 2025

Thai Economy

36% reciprocal tariff further pressures Thai economy; GDP growth at risk of falling below 1.4% (Business Brief No.4171 Full Ed.)

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7 Jul 2025

International Economy

Vietnam’s 2Q25 GDP rose to 7.96% YoY; growth expected to slow in 2H25 due to 20% reciprocal tariff (Business Brief No.4170 Full Ed.)

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3 Jul 2025

International Economy

Vietnam-US trade deal reached, with a 20% reciprocal tariff on Vietnam’s products, down from 46%, boosting Vietnam’s GDP growth to 6.7% this year (Business Brief No.4169 Full Ed.)

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20 Jun 2025

International Economy

China advocates a multi-polar monetary system to reduce reliance on the US Dollar, while promoting the internationalization of the “Digital Yuan” which may take some time (Business Brief No.4166 Full Ed.)

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19 Jun 2025

International Economy

BI maintains its interest rate at 5.5%, while monetary policy in 2H25 may remain accommodative (Business Brief No.4165 Full Ed.)

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18 Jun 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports performed better than expected during 5M25; full-year 2025 growth projected at 1.5% (Business Brief No.4164 Full Ed.)

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13 Jun 2025

International Economy

FOMC meeting, June 17-18: Fed expected to hold its policy rate steady and signal two rate cuts in the second half of the year (Business Brief No.4161 Full Ed.)

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9 Jun 2025

International Economy

China’s inflation in May 2025 remained negative for the fourth consecutive month; the renewed trade war is expected to deepen price pressures (Business Brief No.4161 Full Ed.)

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9 Jun 2025

International Economy

Despite the successful US-China reciprocal tariff negotiation, China’s exports to the US in May 2025 continued to contract by 34.5% YoY (Business Brief No.4162 Full Ed.)

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6 Jun 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand’s inflation for May 2025 contracted for the second consecutive month; full-year inflation forecast lowered to 0.3% (Business Brief No.4160 Full Ed.)

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26 May 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports in April 2025 continued to grow at 10.2% YoY, but they will likely face increased risk in 2H25 (Business Brief No.4159 Full Ed.)

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22 May 2025

International Economy

Subsiding pressures on Rupiah allow BI to cut its interest rate to 5.50%, cushioning the slowing economy (Business Brief No.4158 Full Ed.)

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19 May 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand’s 1Q25 economy grew by 3.1%; KResearch maintains its 2025 GDP forecast at 1.4%, subject to outcome of trade talks (Business Brief No.4157 Full Ed.)

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13 May 2025

International Economy

US lowers reciprocal tariffs on China for 90 days, paving the way for trade talks; China’s exports to US expected to rebound temporarily (Business Brief No.4156 Full Ed.)

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9 May 2025

Thai Economy

Cross-border and transit exports to China rose by 47.8% in 1Q25; full-year value projected to reach at least THB 260 billion (Business Brief No.4154 Full ed.)

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9 May 2025

International Economy

China’s exports to the US fell 21% YoY in April 2025 after the US raised reciprocal tariffs on Chinese imports to 125% (Business Brief No.4155 Full Ed.)

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7 May 2025

International Economy

Indonesia’s 1Q25 economy grew at the lowest rate in three years of 4.87%, with full-year growth projected to stand below 5% (Business Brief No.4152 Full Ed.)

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7 May 2025

Thai Economy

Inflation dropped for the first time in 13 months to (-)0.22% YoY in April 2025; full-year forecast at 0.5% (Business Brief No.4153 Full Ed.)

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2 May 2025

International Economy

FOMC meeting, May 6-7: Fed expected to hold its policy rate steady amid high uncertainty over US tariff hikes (Business Brief No.4151 Full Ed.)

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25 Apr 2025

Thai Economy

At its April 30 meeting, the MPC may cut its interest rate by 0.25%, with at least one more reduction likely in 2H25 (Business Brief No.4149 Full Ed.)

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25 Apr 2025

International Economy

BI maintains its policy rate at 5.75% amid concerns over the Rupiah being Asia’s worst-performing currency (Business Brief No.4147 Full Ed.)

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24 Apr 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports in March 2025 grew at the highest rate in three years at 17.8% YoY, but full-year figure may contract by 0.5% due to US tariff hikes (Business Brief No.4148 Full Ed.)

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16 Apr 2025

International Economy

China’s 1Q25 economy grew more than expected at 5.4%; US import tariffs may pressure China’s economy during the rest of this year (Business Brief No.4146 Full Ed.)

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8 Apr 2025

International Economy

Vietnam’s economy grew at a slower pace of 6.93% YoY in 1Q25; reciprocal tariffs could shrink its GDP by 1.5%, though positive factors exist if trade negotiations with the US succeed (Business Brief No.4144 Full Ed.)

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4 Apr 2025

International Economy

ASEAN faces some of the highest reciprocal tariffs, with Vietnam and Cambodia potentially suffering major GDP blows, while Indonesia may see limited effects (Current Issue No.3575)

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4 Apr 2025

International Economy

China faces the highest combined reciprocal tariffs; its 2025 economic growth may fall below KResearch’s prior forecast by 1% (Current Issue No.3574 Full Ed.)

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4 Apr 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand’s inflation for March 2025 slowed to 0.84% YoY; full-year inflation projected to slide to 0.5% amid an economic slowdown (Business Brief No.4143 Full Ed.)

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31 Mar 2025

Thai Economy

Economic losses from the earthquake initially estimated at no less than THB 20 billion (Current Issue No.3571)

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21 Mar 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports surged by 14.0% YoY in February 2025, driven by accelerated shipments to the US (Business Brief No.4141 Full Ed.)

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19 Mar 2025

International Economy

BI maintains its policy rate at 5.75%, prioritizing currency stability and preventing capital outflows (Business Brief No.4140 Full Ed.)

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14 Mar 2025

International Economy

At the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, the Fed may keep its interest rates unchanged, but there may be at least two rate cuts during the rest of the year due to increased economic risks (Business Brief No.4139 Full Ed.)

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10 Mar 2025

International Economy

Deflation risks continue to pressure China’s economy; domestic inflation in February 2025 turned negative for the first time in 13 months (Business Brief No.4138 Full Ed.)

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7 Mar 2025

International Economy

China’s exports rose by 2.3% YoY in January-February 2025 amid renewed trade tensions (Business Brief No.4136 Full Ed.)

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7 Mar 2025

Thai Economy

Inflation for February 2025 increased by 1.08% YoY; full-year inflation projected at 0.7% due to declining global energy prices (Business Brief No.4137 Full Ed.)

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6 Mar 2025

Thai Economy

CO2 emissions in 2024 increased by 0.8% due to fossil fuel consumption (Current Issue No.3567 Full Ed.)

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6 Mar 2025

International Economy

Vietnam posted a USD 1.55 billion trade deficit in February; its trade surplus for the entire year may decrease due to the risks from President Trump’s tariffs (Business Brief No.4135 Full Ed.)

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5 Mar 2025

International Economy

Seven products at risk of Trump tariffs; Thailand relies on the US for 21% of its exports in this grouping (Current Issue No.3566)

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5 Mar 2025

International Economy

China retaliates against the US, imposing a 10-15% tariff on its agricultural products (Business Brief No.4134 Full Ed.)

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26 Feb 2025

International Economy

Key issues to watch after the CDU/CSU won the German elections on February 23, 2025 (Current Issue No.3563 Full Ed.)

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26 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

The MPC cut the policy rate to 2.00% in a non-unanimous resolution during its February 26 meeting (Business Brief No.4133 Full Ed.)

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25 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports in January 2025 grew by 13.6% YoY, supported by accelerated imports ahead of US import tariff hikes (Business Brief No.4132)

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21 Feb 2025

International Economy

The Chinese government is preparing to support an expanded private sector role in helping the Chinese economy cope with renewed trade wars (Business Brief No.4128 Full Ed.)

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20 Feb 2025

International Economy

Bank Indonesia maintains its policy rate at 5.75% to support economic growth (Business Brief No.4130 Full Ed.)

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20 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

The MPC is expected to maintain the policy rate at its February 26 meeting and cut the rate 1-2 times during the rest of this year, with the weight given primarily to domestic factors (Business Brief No.4131 Full Ed.)

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18 Feb 2025

International Economy

China’s net foreign direct investment fell for the third consecutive year in 2024 (Business Brief No.4128 Full Ed.)

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17 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

The Thai economy grew by 2.5% in 2024, almost on par with prior estimate; KResearch maintains its 2025 GDP growth projection at 2.4% (Business Brief No.4127)

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14 Feb 2025

International Economy

Vietnamese Dong hits a historic low and is likely to weaken further; State Bank of Vietnam expected to maintain its policy rate until year-end 2025 (Business Brief No.4126 Full Ed.)

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13 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

Draft Financial Business Hub Act – A milestone for elevating Thailand to the global stage (Current Issue No.3559)

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10 Feb 2025

International Economy

China’s inflation rose after a temporary boost from Lunar New Year spending, but deflation risks remain (Business Brief No.4125 Full Ed.)

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7 Feb 2025

International Economy

The Indonesian economy in 2024 grew 5.03% as forecasted (Business Brief No.4124 Full Ed.)

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7 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

More factory closures expected in 2025 (Current Issue No.3557 Full Ed.)

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6 Feb 2025

Thai Economy

Inflation accelerated to 1.32% YoY in January 2025 due to the low base effect; KResearch maintains 2025 inflation forecast at 0.7% (Business Brief No.4123 Full Ed.)

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4 Feb 2025

International Economy

President Trump launches a new salvo in the trade war, putting Thai exports at risk, especially electronics, rubber, electrical appliances, and furniture (Business Brief No.4122 Full Ed.)

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3 Feb 2025

International Economy

US imposes a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and eliminates the ‘de minimis’ exemption for small packages (Business Brief No.4121 Full Ed.)

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30 Jan 2025

International Economy

DeepSeek – Hype or a Paradigm Shift? (Current Issue No.3556)

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29 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Sustainability trends to watch in 2025 (Current Issue No.3555)

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29 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Global Finance Hub: Where does Thailand stand? (Current Issue No.3554 Full Ed.)

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24 Jan 2025

International Economy

The Fed is expected to keep interest rates steady at the FOMC meeting on January 28-29, 2025; KResearch expects the Fed to cut policy interest rates only twice this year, in line with the latest dot plot (Business Brief No.4120)

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24 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

PM2.5 pollution in Bangkok expected to cause economic losses of no less than THB 3 billion (Current Issue No.3551)

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24 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Future of green finance when US banks exit the Net Zero Banking Alliance (Current Issue No.3550 Full Ed.)

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23 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Thailand to impose an initial carbon tax on oil and petroleum products, not affecting retail prices (Current Issue No.3549)

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23 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Thai exports in 2024 grew slightly higher than previously anticipated by 5.4%; 2025 growth may slow due to a renewed trade war (Business Brief No.4119 Full Ed.)

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21 Jan 2025

International Economy

Trump’s decision to delay tariff hikes on Inauguration Day weakens the US Dollar (Business Brief No.4118)

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21 Jan 2025

International Economy

First Impressions: President Trump signs executive orders to reverse environmental policies on his first day in office, refocusing on oil and gas drilling (Current Issue No.3548)

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21 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Lunar New Year 2025: The prices of main offerings are expected to increase by no less than 4% (Current Issue No.3547)

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17 Jan 2025

International Economy

China achieved its economic growth target of 5% for 2024; growth may slow in 2025 amid a renewed trade war (Business Brief No.4117 Full Ed.)

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17 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Money alone may not be enough to reduce PM2.5 - Lessons from Singapore and Indonesia (Current Issue No.3546)

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13 Jan 2025

International Economy

China's exports in 2024 grew at 5.9%, pushing its global trade surplus to a record high (Business Brief No.4115 Full Ed.)

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10 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Economic, Business and Banking Outlook 2025 (Business Brief No.4116 Full Ed.)

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9 Jan 2025

International Economy

China’s inflation rose by 0.2% in 2024; deflation risks remain in 2025 (Business Brief No.4114)

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7 Jan 2025

International Economy

The Vietnamese economy in 2024 grew at 7.09% and is expected to achieve growth of 6.8% in 2025 amid the risks of a renewed trade war (Business Brief No.4113 Full Ed.)

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6 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

Average inflation for 2024 stood at 0.4%; Inflation in 2025 expected to rise to 0.7% (Business Brief No.4112)

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3 Jan 2025

Thai Economy

The Baht is expected to weaken in 2025, with added pressure from Trump’s policies (Current Issue No.3544)

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26 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Thai exports grew by 8.2% YoY in November 2024, bolstered by renewed trade war concerns (Business Brief No.4111)

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24 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Thriving and declining businesses in 2025, plus three trends for business growth and risks to brace for (Current Issue No.3541)

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24 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Minimum wage hike averaging 2.9% set for the beginning of 2025; Koh Samui and Chachoengsao to see the highest increase of 14-15% (Current Issue No.3542)

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19 Dec 2024

International Economy

FOMC meeting, December 17-18, 2024: Fed cut the policy rate by 0.25% as expected, and plans to cut the rate twice in 2025 (Business Brief No.4110 Full Ed.)

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18 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

The MPC voted unanimously to maintain its policy rate at 2.25% as widely expected; it may cut the rate twice next year (Business Brief No.4109 Full Ed.)

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17 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

Sustainable Finance: From Green to Transition Finance (Current Issue No.3539)

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16 Dec 2024

International Economy

FOMC meeting, December 17-18, 2024: The Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by 0.25% and signal fewer than four rate cuts next year (Business Brief No.4108 Full Ed.)

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13 Dec 2024

International Economy

China eyes a new economic stimulus package in 2025 to boost domestic consumption and investment amid a new round of trade war (Business Brief No.4107)

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12 Dec 2024

International Economy

Unrest in Syria expected to persist, but its impact on oil prices remains limited (Business Brief No.4106)

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12 Dec 2024

Thai Economy

MPC Meeting, December 18, 2024: MPC is expected to maintain its policy rate at 2.25%, but may cut the rate twice next year (Business Brief No.4105 Full Ed.)

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